Finished
Score attendu : Orlik Brzeg 30-33 SKPR Swidnica
Orlik Brzeg hosts SKPR Swidnica in I Liga on 31 October in a fixture that pits two struggling sides against each other. Brzeg sits 14th with no wins from seven matches; Swidnica occupies 13th with just two victories. Both teams are mired in poor form, but the visitor carries marginally better credentials and enters as the favourite.
Team form
Orlik Brzeg
Orlik Brzeg has capitulated in every recent outing. Across their last five matches, they have conceded 37.6 goals per game while managing only 24.6 at the other end — a defensive collapse that defines their season. The most recent loss came away at Ol.Grodkow, where they shipped 37 goals in a 25-37 defeat. At home against Koscian they fared little better, losing 23-33. This is a team in freefall, and there is no evidence of stabilisation or tactical adjustment. Their offensive output remains anaemic, and their backline offers almost no resistance.
SKPR Swidnica
SKPR Swidnica are scarcely in better shape, but they have at least shown occasional competence. They scored 39 goals in a home win over Wolsztyn on 10 October, suggesting they can trouble opponents when conditions align. However, they have lost three of their last five, including a narrow 25-28 defeat at Swiebodzin and a heavier 32-37 loss to Zielona Gora. Over the same five-game window they average 30.4 goals for and 33.8 against — respectable in attack but vulnerable in defence. They are the marginally more dangerous outfit, yet their consistency remains questionable.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings between these sides are on record, so there is no historical template to draw upon. Both teams enter on level footing in that regard.
Key factors
The decisive factor is Brzeg's catastrophic defensive record. Conceding nearly 38 goals per game is indefensible at any level, and Swidnica's recent attacking form — particularly their 39-goal haul against Wolsztyn — suggests they will exploit this vulnerability. Swidnica's defence is also leaky, but Brzeg's attack is too blunt to capitalise. Swidnica average 30.4 goals per game, well above Brzeg's 24.6, and that gap will likely prove decisive. The visitor's superior offensive threat, combined with Brzeg's inability to contain opponents, points toward a comfortable away victory.
Prediction
Swidnica are the favourite, though not overwhelmingly so. The model prices them at 63.5% to win, reflecting their better recent attacking output and Brzeg's systemic defensive frailty. A draw is improbable at 4.6%, given the attacking nature of both teams' recent matches. Brzeg's 31.9% win probability is inflated by home advantage, but their form does not justify optimism. The predicted scoreline of 30-33 reflects a high-scoring affair in which Swidnica edge out a leaky Brzeg defence.
Back SKPR Swidnica to win. They are the favourite and carry enough offensive firepower to breach Brzeg's porous rearguard. Brzeg's defensive record is too poor to ignore, and Swidnica's recent attacking displays — particularly their 39-goal performance — suggest they will punish the hosts. This is not a strong conviction play, but the data tilts decisively toward the visitor.
Infos du match
Tournois :
Type
League
Statistiques
Comparaison des cotes
Forme récente
Classement
| # | Équipe | MJ | V | D | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 21 | |
| 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 21 | |
| 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 21 | |
| 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 21 | |
| 5 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 18 | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 16 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 6 | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 6 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 5 | |
| 13 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 3 | |
| 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | |
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 24 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 22 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 18 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 18 | |
| 5 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 18 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 10 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 10 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 6 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 6 | |
| 14 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 0 | |
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 21 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 18 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 18 | |
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | |
| 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 7 | |
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 6 | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 6 | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| 13 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | |
| 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | |
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 24 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 21 | |
| 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 21 | |
| 4 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 21 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 | |
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | |
| 11 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | |
| 12 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 3 | |
| 13 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 3 | |
| 14 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
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Orlik Brzeg vs SKPR Swidnica - Handball: analyse de buts moyens et organisation défensive
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Utilisez analyse détaillée de schémas défensifs, comparaison de cotes de bookmakers sur totaux de buts et évaluation d'efficacité de buts. Notre méthodologie inclut tendances d'attaque, rendement défensif et dynamique de matchs Orlik Brzeg vs SKPR Swidnica pour paris handball précis.