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Universidad de Chile - Antofagasta pronostico, quote e consigli scommesse - 05-11-2026
5 nov22:00
Pronostico partita
Risultato previsto: Universidad de Chile 2-1 Antofagasta
Universidad de ChilePareggioAntofagasta
Over 2,5 golSì (56%)
Entrambe segnanoSì (59%)
Universidad de Chile host Antofagasta in a Copa Chile quarter-final that pits a top-flight side against lower-division opposition. The hosts come into this Santiago clash as the stronger outfit on paper, but Antofagasta arrive with recent momentum and a potent attacking record that could make this more competitive than the league gap suggests.
Team form
Universidad de Chile
Universidad de Chile have been inconsistent in their recent run. They hammered D. La Serena 4-0 at home but followed that with a 0-1 loss at Nublense. Over their last five matches, they've scored 7 goals and conceded 4, averaging 1.4 goals for and 0.8 against per game. The 63% possession and 82% pass accuracy from their most recent outing show they control games, yet they managed only 1 shot on goal in that fixture—a concern for clinical finishing when it matters.
Antofagasta
Antofagasta operate in the Primera B, two tiers below Universidad de Chile, yet their recent form is eye-catching. They've won three of their last five, including a 4-0 demolition of Deportes Iquique and a 2-0 away victory at Recoleta. Over this five-game stretch, they've scored 10 goals and conceded 5—a 2.0 goals-per-game average that shows they can hurt teams. Their only blip was a 0-2 loss to Cobreloa, but they've proven they can compete and score at will.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record strongly favours the hosts. Universidad de Chile have won three of the last five meetings and drawn one, with only one defeat. They won 2-1 at home in 2022, 3-1 at home in 2021, and 1-0 at home in 2019. Antofagasta's best result was a 2-2 draw in 2021. Home advantage has been decisive in this fixture.
Key factors
The gulf in league status matters, but Antofagasta's attacking prowess cannot be ignored. They've averaged 2.0 goals per game recently, significantly higher than Universidad de Chile's 1.4. However, the hosts' superior possession and passing accuracy suggest they'll dictate play. The bookmakers price a home win at 1.3, reflecting the expectation that top-flight status and home advantage will tell. The question is whether Antofagasta's attacking threat can exploit any defensive lapses from the hosts, or whether Universidad de Chile's control will suffocate the visitors.
Prediction
Universidad de Chile enter as slight favourites given their league standing, home advantage, and historical edge in this fixture. Yet the model sees this as a tight contest—the most likely outcome is under 45%, meaning it's genuinely competitive. Antofagasta's recent scoring form and the fact they play with freedom in a lower division make them dangerous. The data suggests both teams are likely to score, and the match should produce goals without being a rout. Universidad de Chile's control and home record tilt the balance their way, but Antofagasta are capable of making this uncomfortable for the hosts.
Back Universidad de Chile to edge this, but expect a fairly open game where Antofagasta's attacking threat keeps them in contention. The hosts should win, but they'll need to be clinical and avoid defensive complacency against a side that scores freely in their league. A home win with both teams scoring looks the most likely path.
Informazioni sulla partita
Statistiche
Confronto quote
Forma recente
Universidad de Chile
L
W
W
L
D
Antofagasta
W
D
W
W
Infortuni e squalifiche
Formazioni
Altre partite di Calcio
Universidad de Chile vs Antofagasta - pronostici di Calcio e quote scommesse
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