Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen 予想・オッズ・ベッティングヒント - 08-11-2026

11月8日19:00
Utrecht
2 : 3

試合終了

NEC Nijmegen
試合予想

予想スコア: Utrecht 1-2 NEC Nijmegen

33%
23%
44%
Utrecht引き分けNEC Nijmegen
2.5ゴール以上はい (64%)
両チーム得点はい (65%)

Utrecht host NEC Nijmegen in Eredivisie Round 12 at Stadion Galgenwaard on 8 November. Both sides sit in the lower half of the table—Utrecht twelfth with 12 points, NEC thirteenth with 11—in what shapes as a tight contest between two teams struggling for consistency.

Team form

Utrecht

Utrecht have found some rhythm recently, winning their last two league games: 2-1 away at Twente and 3-1 at home to Willem II. However, the broader picture is mixed. Over their last five matches they've scored 10 but conceded 11, and their season average of 2.82 goals against per game shows defensive fragility. They managed just 37% possession and 1.25 xG in their most recent outing, suggesting they're effective on the counter but vulnerable to sustained pressure.

NEC Nijmegen

NEC have been remarkably difficult to beat but equally difficult to back. Four of their last five league games ended in draws—against Groningen, Fortuna Sittard, Ajax and GO Ahead Eagles—with only a loss to Cambuur breaking the sequence. That draw-heavy run masks a deeper issue: they've scored just 6 goals in those five matches while conceding 9. In their last game they held 59% possession and created 1.88 xG against Groningen but still drew 2-2, suggesting wastefulness in attack despite controlling play.

Head-to-head

The head-to-head record favours Utrecht. In their last five meetings, Utrecht won twice at home (3-1 in 2016, 2-0 in 2013), drew twice and lost once. The most recent clash was a 1-1 draw in 2016. Utrecht's home record against NEC is notably stronger, though that data is now a decade old and may carry limited weight given squad turnover.

Key factors

Utrecht's defensive record—31 goals conceded in 11 games—will be tested by a NEC side that, despite their draw-heavy form, showed attacking intent with 9 shots on goal in their last outing. NEC's inability to convert chances is a recurring theme; they average just 1.55 goals per game this season. Utrecht's recent wins have come on the break, but NEC's possession dominance (59% last time out) suggests they'll dictate territory. The tactical contrast is stark: Utrecht's 3-4-3 shape is geared for transition, while NEC's 3-4-2-1 is built for control. Utrecht's Ángel Alarcón (8.88 rating, 2 goals in his last match) offers a threat on the counter, while NEC's Nejašmić and Bischoff provide midfield control.

Prediction

This is finely balanced. Utrecht's recent wins and home advantage are offset by their defensive vulnerabilities and lower possession averages. NEC's draw-heavy form and attacking wastefulness work against them, yet their possession control and defensive solidity (1.73 goals conceded per game) cannot be ignored. The bookmakers price the draw at 27%, but the underlying dynamics—Utrecht's counter threat versus NEC's control—suggest a more open game. Both sides have shown they can score, and both have defensive issues that invite chances.

NEC edge this as a slight pick, but there's little between them. Expect a competitive match with chances at both ends. The draw remains a genuine possibility given NEC's recent form, but Utrecht's home record and attacking threat on transition give them a realistic path to victory. A fairly open contest with both teams capable of finding the net.

試合情報

トーナメント:

Eredivisie(Regular Season - 12)

審判:

Erwin Blank

スタジアム

Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht

統計

オッズ比較

最近のフォーム

Utrecht
L
W
D
W
W
NEC Nijmegen
W
W
L
D
W

負傷・出場停止

ラインナップ

順位表

#チーム試勝分負得失差勝点
1
PSV Eindhoven
1282240152526
2
Feyenoord
1274136171925
3
Ajax
1274132151725
4
Twente
1273230121824
5
AZ Alkmaar
127232416823
6
Heerenveen
126332416821
7
Fortuna Sittard
125522020020
8
GO Ahead Eagles
124532427-317
9
Groningen
124352928115
10
Cambuur
124352527-215
11
NEC Nijmegen
123542021-114
12
Sparta Rotterdam
123362129-812
13
PEC Zwolle
123361324-1112
14
Utrecht
123362134-1312
15
Excelsior
123271629-1311
16
Telstar
122461825-710
17
ADO Den Haag
122371625-99
18
Willem II
120391140-293
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