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Piłka nożna
Przewidywany wynik: Cartagena LU II 1-2 Santomera
Cartagena LU II host Santomera in Tercera División RFEF Group 13 on 18 October, a fixture that pits the division's runaway leaders against a mid-table side still finding their feet. Santomera sit top with 16 points from 6 games; Cartagena LU II are 12th on 8 points. The gap is stark, and the betting market reflects it decisively.
Team form
Cartagena LU II
Cartagena LU II have won 2 of their last 5, most recently beating Bullas Deportivo 3-2 away on 10 October. They drew 2-2 at home to UCAM Murcia II and 0-0 away to SFC Minerva, then lost 1-2 at home to Algar. Over those five games they scored 7 and conceded 6. The pattern is erratic: they can score, but they leak goals and lack consistency. Season-wide they average 1.50 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game.
Santomera
Santomera are in a different class. They have won 4 of their last 5, drawing only with Los Garres (2-2 away). They beat Balsicas Atlético 3-0 at home, Atlético Pulpileño 3-2 away, Bullas Deportivo 2-1 away, and Algar 2-0 at home. Over those five matches they scored 12 and conceded just 5. Season averages tell the story: 2.33 goals per game and only 1.00 conceded. They are the division's standout team.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record is mixed but tilted toward Santomera. In their last four meetings, Santomera won twice (2-1 at home in May 2026 and January 2025), while Cartagena LU II drew twice (4-4 in January 2026 and 3-3 in September 2024). Cartagena have never beaten Santomera in these fixtures. The pattern suggests Santomera are the stronger outfit, though Cartagena have shown they can score against them.
Key factors
Santomera's defensive record is the key. Conceding just 1.00 per game and only 5 in five recent matches, they are disciplined and hard to break down. Cartagena's attack, averaging 1.50 per game, will struggle to find space. Conversely, Santomera's attacking threat is genuine: 2.33 per game and 12 in five recent outings. Cartagena's defence, conceding 1.67 per game, is vulnerable. The visitors have the quality to exploit that. Home advantage is Cartagena's only real asset here.
Prediction
The model favours Santomera to win, and the data supports it. Santomera are top of the league for a reason: they score freely and defend tightly. Cartagena are inconsistent and sit 12th. The head-to-head record shows Santomera have the upper hand. The expected goal balance strongly favours the visitors. A draw is possible—Cartagena have drawn twice recently—but Santomera's form and efficiency make them the favourite.
Santomera are the favourite to win. The odds reflect a clear gulf in quality. Expect the visitors to control the match and likely score at least twice. Cartagena may grab a goal, but a Santomera victory is the most probable outcome. Over 2.5 goals is likely given both sides' attacking tendencies.
Informacje o meczu
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Statystyki
Porównanie kursów
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Kontuzje i zawieszenia
Składy
Tabela
| # | Drużyna | M | W | R | P | Pkt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 | |
| 2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | |
| 5 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 14 | |
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | |
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | |
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | |
| 18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 |
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