Finished
Alytaus x Sviesa palpite, odds e dicas de apostas - 31-10-2026
31/1012:00
29 : 34
Previsão da partida
Resultado previsto: Alytaus 28-30 Sviesa
AlytausEmpateSviesa
Alytaus host Sviesa in the Lietuvos Lyga on 31 October in a match that pits a struggling home side against a league leader hunting consistency. Alytaus sit fourth with 4 points from 5 games, while Sviesa occupy second place with 12 points from 7. The visitors won their head-to-head just three weeks ago, 34–27, and arrive as favourites to repeat the dose.
Team form
Alytaus
Alytaus have won only 2 of their last 5 league games and conceded 32.8 goals per game over that stretch — a concerning defensive record. They did beat Vilnius 32–29 at home on 17 October, showing they can compete, but losses to Granitas-Karys (29–33) and Dragunas Klaipeda (28–40) reveal vulnerability against stronger opponents. Their scoring average of 29.4 per game is respectable, yet the gap between what they score and what they concede (3.4 goals per game) suggests their attack cannot bail out a leaky defence.
Sviesa
Sviesa's recent picture is mixed but ultimately stronger. In the Lietuvos Lyga alone, they have won 3 of their last 4 games, including the 34–27 victory over Alytaus. However, two losses in Baltic League fixtures — 26–29 to Polva Serviti and 20–21 to Viljandi — show they are not invincible. Over their last 5 games across both competitions, Sviesa conceded just 25.0 goals per game, a solid defensive foundation. Their 29.2 scoring average mirrors Alytaus, but the defensive discipline is the difference: Sviesa have allowed fewer goals and sit higher in the league table.
Head-to-head
The teams met on 7 October in the Lietuvos Lyga, with Sviesa winning 34–27 at home. That 7-goal margin is substantial and suggests Sviesa's superiority in that encounter was clear. No other recent head-to-head data is available, so this result carries extra weight in assessing the likely outcome.
Key factors
Alytaus' defensive leakiness is the central concern. Conceding over 32 goals per game in recent matches leaves them exposed against a Sviesa side that has tightened up in league play. Sviesa's second-place standing reflects consistent performance, though their recent Baltic League losses remind us they are not unbeatable. The home advantage for Alytaus is real but unlikely to overcome the quality gap. Sviesa's ability to control games and limit concessions should prevail in a fairly open contest.
Prediction
Sviesa are the favourite based on their superior league position, recent head-to-head win, and tighter defence. Alytaus have shown they can score but cannot stop opponents reliably. The visitors' consistency in the Lietuvos Lyga, despite stumbles in European competition, points to an away win. The margin is expected to be narrow — a 2-goal difference is plausible — reflecting that Alytaus will score but fall short defensively.
Back Sviesa to win. The visitors hold the edge in form, defence, and recent direct history. Alytaus will make this competitive at home, but Sviesa's league credentials and discipline make them the more likely winner.
Informações da partida
Torneios:
Lietuvos Lyga(2026)
Tipo
League
Estatísticas
Comparativo de odds
Forma recente
Alytaus
W
L
L
L
W
Sviesa (Ltu)
W
W
L
W
L
Classificação
| # | Equipe | PJ | V | D | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dragunas Klaipeda | 8 | 8 | 0 | 16 |
| 2 |  Sviesa | 8 | 7 | 1 | 14 |
| 3 |  Granitas-Karys | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 |  Alytaus | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 |  Pieno zvaigzdes | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 6 |  Vilnius | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| 7 |  Varenos | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
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