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Expected score: New Orleans Pelicans 90-92 Denver Nuggets
The Denver Nuggets travel to New Orleans for an NBA season opener on 29 October 2026. Both teams enter the regular season after competing in the Las Vegas Summer League, where they showed mixed results. The Nuggets hold a narrow edge in the matchup according to the available data, though this remains a closely contested fixture.
Team form
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans finished their Summer League campaign with a 2-3 record. They won consecutive games against Phoenix (81-75) and Charlotte (95-91), but sandwiched losses around those victories. Across all five Summer League games, the Pelicans averaged 83.6 points while conceding 88.8 per game. Their offensive output was inconsistent, ranging from 73 points in a loss to Indiana to 95 against Charlotte. Defensive control proved elusive throughout the stretch, suggesting they may need time to settle into regular-season rhythm.
Denver Nuggets
Denver showed greater offensive firepower in Summer League play, averaging 98.0 points across five games compared to New Orleans' 83.6. The Nuggets won three of their five contests, defeating Toronto, Oklahoma City, and Minnesota. They also conceded fewer points on average at 95.8 per game. Denver's scoring consistency was notable—they posted 96, 101, 106, 101, and 86 points across their fixtures. While they lost to Portland and Houston, their overall point production and defensive numbers suggest a team better positioned for the regular season's opening night.
Head-to-head
No previous head-to-head meetings are available in the data provided, so this matchup offers no historical context to draw upon.
Key factors
The offensive disparity evident in Summer League play stands out: Denver averaged 14.4 more points per game than New Orleans over the five-game sample. The Nuggets also demonstrated superior defensive discipline, conceding 2.8 fewer points per contest. Both teams showed vulnerability on the road and at home during the summer circuit, so venue provides no clear advantage. New Orleans will need to improve their perimeter shooting and transition defence to compete effectively. Denver's depth and scoring consistency, particularly their ability to exceed 100 points in multiple games, suggests they can sustain offensive pressure. The Pelicans' best performances came when they limited opponents to under 92 points, a threshold Denver has exceeded in three of five Summer League outings.
Prediction
Denver enters as a slight favourite based on their superior Summer League output and more balanced performance across both ends of the floor. The Nuggets' 98-point average and defensive efficiency give them an edge in a season opener where rhythm and consistency matter. New Orleans' inconsistent scoring and defensive lapses during the summer provide less confidence heading into regulation play. The expected point totals favour Denver marginally, though the margin remains narrow enough that New Orleans certainly possesses the talent to compete and potentially upset the visitors.
Denver Nuggets to win. The visitors hold a narrow advantage on the back of their Summer League form, but expect a closely contested game. Both teams should score in the low 90s, with Denver's greater offensive consistency likely to prove decisive in a tight contest.
Match info
Tournaments:
Venue
Smoothie King Center
Statistics
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