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Chelmsford City vs Farnham Town Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 02-11-2026
Nov 219:45
Match Prediction
Expected score: Chelmsford City 1-0 Farnham Town
Chelmsford CityDrawFarnham Town
Chelmsford City host Farnham Town in National League South action on 2 November, a clash between two mid-table sides with contrasting recent trajectories. Chelmsford sit 13th with 14 points from ten games, while Farnham occupy 11th with 17 points from eleven. The hosts are slight favourites in the betting, but this is a tight affair with real uncertainty baked in.
Team form
Chelmsford City
Chelmsford have been stuck in a rut. Their last five matches have yielded five draws and one loss — they have not won since before late August. Over those five games they scored 6 and conceded 6, averaging 1.2 goals in each direction. The draw habit is pronounced: eight draws in ten league games is an unusually high proportion. They are scoring at 1.40 per game across the season but have been held to 0 goals in their most recent outing against Horsham.
Farnham Town
Farnham show more volatility. They have won two of their last five but also lost three, including a heavy 2-4 defeat at home to Billericay Town. Over that five-game stretch they scored 6 but conceded 8, suggesting defensive frailty — a concern given they are averaging 1.45 goals conceded per game this season. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses reflects a side capable of beating anyone but prone to lapses.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings between these clubs are on record, so there is no historical pattern to draw on. Both sides enter this fixture on fresh ground.
Key factors
Chelmsford's inability to break the draw cycle is the central issue. While their defensive record (0.80 conceded per game) is solid, they are creating little separation in matches. Farnham's leakier defence (1.45 conceded per game) offers an opening, but the visitors have shown they can win away — they beat Horsham 2-1 on the road in late August. The betting market leans toward a Chelmsford win, but the narrow margin reflects genuine doubt. Both teams are capable of scoring, though neither is prolific, and a low-scoring result remains plausible given Chelmsford's recent form.
Prediction
Chelmsford hold a slight favourite tag at 52% implied probability for the home win. They have the better defensive record and home advantage, which counts. However, their five-game draw streak and lack of a win in over two months temper confidence. Farnham are the more dangerous attacking proposition on paper (1.55 goals per game versus 1.40) and have shown they can win away. The model suggests the hosts edge it, but this is a narrow call — a draw remains very much in play, and Farnham's attacking threat should not be underestimated.
Back Chelmsford City for the win, but do so cautiously. The hosts are slight favourites and have the defensive solidity to grind out a result, but their chronic inability to win matches is a red flag. Farnham offer decent value as underdogs given their away record and attacking average. For those seeking a safer angle, the draw is finely balanced and worth consideration. Expect a tight, low-scoring affair — both teams to score is too close to call.
Match info
Tournaments:
National League - South(National League South - 12)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Chelmsford City
W
D
L
W
W
Farnham Town
W
W
L
D
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Truro City | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
| 2 |  Maidstone Utd | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 |
| 3 |  Ebbsfleet United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 28 |
| 4 |  Salisbury | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 28 |
| 5 |  Billericay Town | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25 |
| 6 |  Tonbridge Angels | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 |
| 7 |  Dorking Wanderers | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 24 |
| 8 |  Dagenham & Redbridge | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 |
| 9 |  Farnham Town | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 |
| 10 |  Horsham | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 22 |
| 11 |  Dover | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Chelmsford City | 13 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 21 |
| 13 |  Torquay | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 |
| 14 |  Folkestone Invicta | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 |
| 15 |  Weston-super-Mare | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 |
| 16 |  Farnborough | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17 |
| 17 |  Braintree | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 16 |
| 18 |  AFC Totton | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 16 |
| 19 |  Maidenhead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| 20 |  Hemel Hempstead Town | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| 21 |  Chesham United | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 |
| 22 |  Hampton & Richmond | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 |
| 23 |  Walton & Hersham | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 |
| 24 |  Slough Town | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 |
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