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Expected score: Landskrona BoIS 2-1 Orebro SK
Landskrona BoIS host Orebro SK in Superettan Round 29, with the hosts sitting sixth on 44 points against visitors languishing in 13th on 29. The gap in the table reflects a meaningful difference in season performance: Landskrona average 1.64 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game, while Orebro manage only 1.11 scored against 1.50 conceded. Bookmakers price a home win at 1.81, suggesting Landskrona enter as slight favourites despite the away side's unpredictability.
Team form
Landskrona BoIS
Landskrona's recent record shows mixed stability. Over their last five matches they scored 6 and conceded 6—a 1.2 per-game average in both directions. Their most recent outing was a 2-2 draw at home against IK brage on 30 May, preceded by a 1-0 away win at Sandviken. The pattern reveals a side that can both create and leak chances, neither dominant nor fragile. Possession data from that last match (60%) and 11 shots on goal suggest they maintain attacking intent, though converting chances remains inconsistent.
Orebro SK
Orebro's trajectory is sharply downward. In their last five games they conceded 12 goals while scoring only 5—a concerning 2.4 goals-against average. Their most recent fixture, a 2-3 loss away at Ostersunds on 31 May, followed defeats to Helsingborg (1-2) and a heavy 1-4 reverse at Oddevold. Only one win in five matches (1-0 at IFK Varnamo) breaks an otherwise bleak run. The 45% possession and just 2 shots on goal in their last outing underline a team struggling to impose itself; defensive fragility is the defining issue.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record over five meetings is split. Orebro won at home 1-0 in April 2026 and hold a 2-1 advantage in wins across the sample, but Landskrona's 2-1 away victory in October 2025 demonstrates they can succeed on Orebro's ground. The fixture has produced mixed scorelines—from Orebro's 4-0 demolition in November 2023 to a 2-2 draw in 2022. Recent encounters suggest tighter contests than that outlier, with neither side dominating the pairing.
Key factors
Landskrona's home record and superior season average in both attack and defence form the foundation of their favouritism. Orebro's defensive vulnerability—2.4 goals conceded per game in their last five—is the critical weakness; Landskrona's 1.64 scoring average should find opportunities. Conversely, Orebro have shown they can score (the 2-3 loss to Ostersunds proves they are not toothless), and Landskrona's 1.18 conceded average, while respectable, is not elite. The bookmakers' 64% probability for both teams to score reflects legitimate concern that Orebro will breach the home defence at least once.
Prediction
Landskrona hold a narrow edge on the evidence. They are marginally more likely to win because they defend more soundly, score more consistently, and play at home. Orebro's recent form is too poor to ignore—12 goals conceded in five matches is a red flag that Landskrona should exploit. However, the away side's ability to score in their last outing (2 goals) and the historical unpredictability of this fixture prevent confidence from rising to a level that dismisses a draw or upset. The bookmaker odds reflect this: a home win is favoured but far from certain.
Back Landskrona as slight favourites. The data supports a home win as the most likely outcome, but the margin is narrow. Orebro's defensive frailties make them vulnerable, yet their recent goal tally in defeat suggests a fairly open match. A draw remains plausible given the fixture history and Landskrona's recent tendency to drop points at home.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 65 | |
| 2 | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 54 | |
| 3 | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 48 | |
| 4 | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 48 | |
| 5 | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 45 | |
| 6 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 44 | |
| 7 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 42 | |
| 8 | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 42 | |
| 9 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 38 | |
| 10 | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 35 | |
| 11 | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 34 | |
| 12 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 32 | |
| 13 | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 29 | |
| 14 | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 27 | |
| 15 | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | |
| 16 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 22 | 19 |
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Landskrona BoIS vs Orebro SK - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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