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Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 02-11-2026
Nov 220:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Sporting Cristal 3-0 FC Cajamarca
Sporting CristalDrawFC Cajamarca
Over 2.5 goalsYes (78%)
Sporting Cristal host FC Cajamarca at Estadio Alberto Gallardo in Lima for Matchday 15 of the Clausura season. The hosts occupy seventh place with 47 points from 31 games, while Cajamarca sit sixteenth with 28 points. This fixture presents a significant disparity in current standing and recent trajectory.
Team form
Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal's recent record shows inconsistency. Over their last five matches they have won twice, against Sport Boys (3-0) and Alianza Atletico (3-1), but suffered three defeats: to UCV Moquegua (1-2), Club Deportivo Los Chankas (2-3), and Sport Huancayo (1-2). Across these five games they scored 10 and conceded 8. For the season, they average 1.84 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per match, reflecting a side capable of attacking threat but vulnerable in defence.
FC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca are in severe distress. Their last five matches yield a single goal scored against ten conceded, with losses to Club Deportivo Los Chankas (0-1), Cienciano (0-3), Comerciantes Unidos (3-4), Atletico Grau (0-1), and Universitario (0-1). Only the Comerciantes Unidos match produced attacking output. Season-wide, they average 1.42 goals scored and 1.94 conceded per game—a defensive record that ranks among the division's worst.
Head-to-head
The teams met on 15 May 2026, when Cajamarca won 3-1 at home. That result stands as their sole recent meeting and provides Cajamarca with a psychological reference point, though context has shifted substantially: Sporting Cristal have since played further matches and currently hold the stronger league position.
Key factors
Sporting Cristal's home advantage at Estadio Alberto Gallardo is material. They control possession effectively—their last outing showed 78% possession—and their 4-3-3 formation under Paulo Autuori emphasises midfield control. Cajamarca operate a 4-2-3-1 under Rafael Ayala Gavilan Celso and have conceded heavily in recent weeks, averaging 2.0 goals per game across their last five outings. The gulf in form is pronounced: Sporting Cristal's attacking output in their last five (2.0 per game) far exceeds Cajamarca's defensive solidity. Cajamarca's inability to score—0.6 per game over five matches—compounds their difficulty against a side that, despite recent defensive lapses, remains substantially stronger.
Prediction
The statistical model strongly favours a Sporting Cristal victory. The hosts' superior league position, recent wins at home, and consistent attacking threat contrast sharply with Cajamarca's defensive fragility and goal drought. Cajamarca's single previous win over this opponent does not offset the current form gap. The model projects an expected-goals balance heavily in Sporting Cristal's favour, with the likeliest outcomes clustered toward comfortable home victories. Both teams to score is finely balanced and too close to call.
Sporting Cristal are strong favourites to win. Their home record, midfield control, and attacking capacity should prove decisive against a Cajamarca side struggling to score and defend. A comfortable home victory is the most likely outcome.
Match info
Tournaments:
Primera División(Clausura - 15)
Referee:
Michael Espinoza
Stadium
Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Sporting Cristal
W
L
W
W
W
FC Cajamarca
L
L
L
D
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 65 |
| 2 |  Universitario | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 59 |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 54 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 51 |
| 5 |  Cusco | 32 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 |  Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 50 |
| 7 |  Alianza Atletico | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 49 |
| 8 |  Sporting Cristal | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 47 |
| 9 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sport Boys | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 44 |
| 11 |  Sport Huancayo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 44 |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 41 |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 35 |
| 14 |  Atletico Grau | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 34 |
| 15 |  ADT | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30 |
| 16 |  UCV Moquegua | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
| 17 |  FC Cajamarca | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 28 |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 |
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Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.