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UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 02-11-2026
Nov 218:15
Match Prediction
Expected score: UTC Cajamarca 1-2 Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC CajamarcaDrawDeportivo Garcilaso
Over 2.5 goalsYes (57%)
Both teams to scoreYes (59%)
UTC Cajamarca host Deportivo Garcilaso in round 15 of Peru's Primera División Clausura at Estadio Héroes de San Ramón. The visitors arrive as clear league leaders in points and goal difference, while the hosts sit in the relegation zone and face mounting pressure. This fixture pits a struggling side against one of the division's most consistent performers.
Team form
UTC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca have won just once in their last five league matches, losing three times and drawing once. Over that run they scored 4 goals but conceded 7, averaging 0.8 per game offensively and 1.4 defensively. Their season record reads 5 wins, 8 draws and 18 losses across 31 games, with 36 goals scored against 55 conceded. The underlying numbers are bleak: they average 1.16 goals per game and concede 1.77. At home they held 57% possession in their most recent outing but managed only 2 shots on goal, suggesting difficulty in converting territorial advantage into clear-cut chances.
Deportivo Garcilaso
Deportivo Garcilaso won their last league match 3-2 at home against Sport Boys, though they have drawn twice and lost twice in their last five outings. They scored 4 goals and conceded 6 over that span, averaging 0.8 and 1.2 per game respectively. Their league position tells a different story: 15 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses from 31 matches, sitting fourth with 51 points. They have scored 47 goals this season and conceded only 33, averaging 1.52 scored and 1.06 conceded per game. In their last match they controlled possession at 63%, generated 1.22 expected goals and had 4 shots on target, demonstrating both territorial and clinical superiority.
Head-to-head
Deportivo Garcilaso hold a clear advantage in recent head-to-head meetings. In their last five encounters, Garcilaso won twice, drew twice and lost none. Most recently in May 2026, Garcilaso won 2-0 at home. The two sides drew 0-0 in September 2025 and again in September 2023. Garcilaso's only defeats in this fixture came in earlier seasons, but the recent trend strongly favours the visitors.
Key factors
Garcilaso's defensive solidity is the standout metric: conceding just 1.06 goals per game against Cajamarca's 1.77 average conceded suggests the visitors' shape will be difficult to breach. Cajamarca's attacking output of 1.16 per game is well below what they need to trouble a side of Garcilaso's calibre. The visitors' midfield depth and technical quality, evidenced by their 86% pass accuracy in their last outing, should allow them to control possession and limit Cajamarca's opportunities. However, Garcilaso's recent form shows inconsistency—two draws and two losses in five games—so they are not invulnerable.
Prediction
Garcilaso's superior league position, better defensive record, and head-to-head advantage make them marginal favourites despite recent mixed results. Cajamarca's relegation-zone status and poor goal difference compound their disadvantage at home. The bookmakers price an away win at 2.31, reflecting this lean toward Garcilaso. Both teams' recent outputs suggest a fairly open game with chances at both ends, though Garcilaso should create the clearer opportunities.
Deportivo Garcilaso are slight favourites to win. A narrow away victory is the most likely outcome, though Cajamarca's home advantage and recent desperation could produce a competitive match. Goals are expected from both sides, making over 2.5 a reasonable consideration for fantasy purposes.
Match info
Tournaments:
Primera División(Clausura - 15)
Referee:
Walter Guadalupe
Stadium
Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, Cajamarca
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
UTC Cajamarca
W
L
L
L
L
Deportivo Garcilaso
L
W
L
L
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 65 |
| 2 |  Universitario | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 59 |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 54 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 51 |
| 5 |  Cusco | 32 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 |  Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 50 |
| 7 |  Alianza Atletico | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 49 |
| 8 |  Sporting Cristal | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 47 |
| 9 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sport Boys | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 44 |
| 11 |  Sport Huancayo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 44 |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 41 |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 35 |
| 14 |  Atletico Grau | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 34 |
| 15 |  ADT | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30 |
| 16 |  UCV Moquegua | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
| 17 |  FC Cajamarca | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 28 |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 |
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UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.