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Expected score: Chapecoense-sc 1-2 Mirassol
Chapecoense-sc hosts Mirassol at Arena Condá in Serie A Round 34 on 3 November 2026. The hosts occupy 20th place with 21 points from 32 matches, while Mirassol sits 16th with 37 points from 33 games. Mirassol hold a clear advantage in the standings and recent head-to-head record, having won three of the last five meetings between these sides.
Team form
Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense-sc are in severe defensive trouble. Over their last five matches, they have conceded 9 goals while scoring only 1, averaging 1.8 goals against per game. The sequence includes three defeats and two draws, with particular concern evident in the 0-2 loss at Bahia most recently. Season-wide, they average 1.00 goal scored against 2.06 conceded per match. Multiple injuries compound the problem: Heitor and Robert Conceicao are unavailable, and Rafael Carvalheira is questionable.
Mirassol
Mirassol have also struggled offensively in recent weeks, winning none of their last five matches. They have scored 2 goals and conceded 8 across that span, though their underlying season statistics are more respectable at 1.12 scored and 1.42 conceded per game. The 0-2 defeat at Flamengo was their most recent outing. Suspension of Bruno Santos (red card) and Edson Carioca (yellow cards) will limit squad depth, though Jose Aldo is questionable rather than ruled out.
Head-to-head
Mirassol dominate the recent head-to-head record. In the last five meetings, they have won three, drawn one, and lost none. The most recent encounter, on 10 May 2026, ended 1-1, but before that Mirassol won away in August 2024 and July 2023, and at home in November 2024 and April 2023. This pattern strongly favours the visitors.
Key factors
Chapecoense-sc's leaky defence is the central weakness: 2.06 goals conceded per game ranks among the poorest in the division. Mirassol's superior league position and head-to-head advantage provide clear structural superiority. The bookmakers price the away win at 1.99, reflecting Mirassol's edge. Both teams have misfired in recent weeks, but Mirassol's defensive record (1.42 conceded per game) is substantially better than Chapecoense-sc's (2.06). Mirassol's 5-4-1 formation offers defensive stability, while Chapecoense-sc's 4-2-3-1 has proven porous.
Prediction
Mirassol are narrow favourites despite recent poor form. The hosts' defensive fragility, combined with Mirassol's superior points tally, head-to-head record, and tighter defensive structure, points toward an away victory. Chapecoense-sc have won only 4 of 32 matches this season and concede at a rate that leaves them vulnerable to Mirassol's attacking threat. While both teams have struggled to score recently, Mirassol's better defensive discipline should prove decisive. The bookmaker odds of 1.99 for an away win fairly reflect the underlying advantage.
Mirassol are slight favourites to win. The visitors' superior league standing, defensive record, and historical edge in this fixture outweigh their recent offensive struggles. Expect a competitive match with both sides likely to create chances, but Mirassol's organisation should prevail. A fairly open game is probable, with goals at both ends a realistic possibility.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 73 | |
| 2 | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 70 | |
| 3 | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 57 | |
| 4 | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 54 | |
| 5 | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 54 | |
| 6 | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 53 | |
| 7 | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | |
| 8 | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 47 | |
| 9 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 44 | |
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 43 | |
| 11 | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 42 | |
| 12 | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 39 | |
| 13 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 | |
| 14 | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 38 | |
| 15 | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | |
| 16 | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | |
| 17 | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36 | |
| 18 | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 35 | |
| 19 | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 29 | |
| 20 | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 21 |
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Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
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