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Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 03-11-2026
Nov 320:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Comerciantes Unidos 1-0 ADT
Comerciantes UnidosDrawADT
Over 2.5 goalsYes (56%)
Comerciantes Unidos host ADT in Round 15 of Peru's Primera División Clausura at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra. Both sides occupy the lower half of the table, with the hosts holding a one-point advantage in 13th place. This fixture presents a critical opportunity for either team to gain ground in the closing stages of the season.
Team form
Comerciantes Unidos
Comerciantes Unidos have shown inconsistency across their last five outings, recording two wins, two draws and one defeat. They scored 9 goals and conceded 7 over this period, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.4 against per game—above their seasonal average of 1.35 scored and 1.45 conceded. A 4-3 victory over FC Cajamarca in early March demonstrated attacking intent, yet they have since drawn twice, most recently 1-1 away at Sport Huancayo. The hosts' season-long record of 8 wins, 11 draws and 12 losses reflects a team struggling for consistency.
ADT
ADT have won only once in their last five matches, drawing twice and losing twice. They scored 6 goals and conceded 7 across this stretch, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.4 against per game. Their recent form is marginally weaker than their seasonal average of 1.06 scored and 1.45 conceded. A 2-3 defeat at home to Cienciano in their most recent outing underscores defensive fragility. With 7 wins, 9 draws and 15 losses from 31 games, ADT sit 15th and are under pressure to reverse a downward trajectory.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record strongly favours ADT, who have won three of the last five meetings. Comerciantes Unidos have not defeated ADT in at least five encounters, drawing twice and losing three times. ADT's most recent victory came 2-0 at home in May 2026. This historical advantage suggests ADT possess tactical or personnel advantages in this fixture, despite their current league position.
Key factors
Comerciantes Unidos' superior recent form—particularly their attacking output of 1.8 goals per game over five matches—contrasts with ADT's struggles in front of goal at 1.2 per game. However, ADT's head-to-head dominance and defensive record (1.45 conceded per game, matching the hosts) cannot be ignored. Possession and pass accuracy data from each team's most recent match show ADT controlled play at 56% possession and 79% pass accuracy, suggesting they can dictate terms. Comerciantes Unidos' 29% possession in their last outing indicates they may be vulnerable to a team that controls the ball. Both defences have conceded at similar rates across the season, pointing toward a competitive encounter.
Prediction
Comerciantes Unidos are favoured as the home side with superior recent form and a one-point league advantage. Their attacking threat has improved markedly, and home advantage at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra carries weight. ADT's recent inconsistency and lower goal-scoring average weaken their position, despite their historical edge in this fixture. The bookmakers price the home win at 1.82, reflecting this assessment. However, ADT's tactical discipline and head-to-head record mean they represent a genuine threat and should not be underestimated.
Comerciantes Unidos are the favourite to take three points. The match appears likely to be competitive and relatively tight, with both teams capable of creating chances. A low-scoring home victory is the most probable outcome, though the fixture carries enough uncertainty to warrant caution. The both teams to score market is finely balanced given the defensive vulnerabilities on both sides and recent attacking form. Backing the home win offers value at current odds.
Match info
Tournaments:
Primera División(Clausura - 15)
Referee:
Edwin Ordonez
Stadium
Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Comerciantes Unidos
D
W
L
D
L
ADT
W
D
L
D
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 65 |
| 2 |  Universitario | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 59 |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 54 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 51 |
| 5 |  Cusco | 32 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 |  Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 50 |
| 7 |  Alianza Atletico | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 49 |
| 8 |  Sporting Cristal | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 47 |
| 9 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sport Boys | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 44 |
| 11 |  Sport Huancayo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 44 |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 41 |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 35 |
| 14 |  Atletico Grau | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 34 |
| 15 |  ADT | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30 |
| 16 |  UCV Moquegua | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
| 17 |  FC Cajamarca | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 28 |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 |
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Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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