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Olímpico Totana vs Algar Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 04-11-2026
Nov 419:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Olímpico Totana 2-0 Algar
Olímpico TotanaDrawAlgar
Over 2.5 goalsYes (57%)
Both teams to scoreNo (38%)
Olímpico Totana host Algar in Tercera División RFEF Group 13 on 4 November, a fixture that pits a mid-table side against one struggling near the foot of the standings. Totana sit tenth with 11 points from eight games; Algar languish sixteenth on 6 points, having won just twice all season. The gap in quality and consistency is substantial, and the data strongly favours the hosts.
Team form
Olímpico Totana
Totana's recent record is mixed but shows attacking capability. They lost 1-3 to Santomera at home three days before this match, a concerning result, but prior to that won 3-1 away at Bullas Deportivo. Over their last five games they have scored 7 and conceded 7, averaging 1.4 per game in both directions. The home loss to Santomera suggests defensive frailty, yet they have shown they can score when the opposition is vulnerable. Their season average of 1.38 goals scored and conceded reflects a team capable of both creating and leaking chances.
Algar
Algar's form is dire. They have lost four of their last five matches and conceded 9 goals across that span while scoring only 5. Most damning is their season record: 5 goals scored, 16 conceded across eight games, a goal difference of minus 11. They lost 0-2 away to Águilas II most recently and 0-3 at home to San Javier earlier in October. Their average of 0.63 goals scored per game is the poorest indicator here—they simply cannot finish. Defensively, at 2.00 conceded per game, they are fragile and will struggle against a Totana side that has shown it can score.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings between these sides are on record.
Key factors
The disparity in attacking output is the decisive factor. Totana average 1.38 goals per game; Algar 0.63. Algar's defensive record—16 goals conceded in eight games—suggests they will be vulnerable to Totana's forward play, particularly at home where Totana have won twice in their last five. Algar's inability to score (five goals in five recent games) means they are unlikely to trouble Totana's defence sufficiently to force a draw or upset. Totana's recent home loss to Santomera is a note of caution, but the underlying metrics favour the hosts decisively. Algar's only wins this season came against Mazarrón FC and Cartagena LU II—neither of which are among the division's stronger sides—suggesting they lack the quality to compete with a team in Totana's bracket.
Prediction
Totana are clear favourites. They hold a 10-point advantage in the standings and possess a far superior goal difference. Algar's defensive fragility and chronic shortage of goals make them unlikely to mount a credible challenge, particularly away from home. The model reflects this asymmetry strongly, pricing Totana as heavy favourites. While Algar have shown occasional resilience—two wins in their last five games—those victories came against weaker opposition. Against a side that has won and scored consistently this season, Algar face an uphill battle.
Olímpico Totana should win this match. The hosts are substantially stronger in both attack and defence, and Algar's poor recent form and season-long struggles suggest they lack the resources to earn a result. A home victory is the clear expectation, with a fairly open game likely if Totana press early and establish control.
Match info
Tournaments:
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13(Group 13 - 7)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Olímpico Totana
L
W
L
W
D
Algar
L
W
L
W
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Santomera | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 |
| 2 |  Santa Cruz | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 |  San Javier | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 4 |  UCAM Murcia II | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 |  Águilas II | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 |  Unión Molinense | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 |  Bala Azul | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Atlético Pulpileño | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Los Garres | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Olímpico Totana | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 |  Cotillas CD | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 12 |  Balsicas Atlético | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Alcantarilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 14 |  Cartagena LU II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 15 |  SFC Minerva | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 16 |  Algar | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| 17 |  Bullas Deportivo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mazarrón FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 |
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Olímpico Totana vs Algar - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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