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Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 05-11-2026
Nov 517:45
Match Prediction
Expected score: Trabzonspor 1-1 SC Freiburg
TrabzonsporDrawSC Freiburg
Over 2.5 goalsYes (61%)
Both teams to scoreYes (63%)
Trabzonspor host SC Freiburg in the UEFA Europa Conference League League Stage on 5 November at Papara Park. The Turkish side arrive as the standout performers in this competition so far, sitting fourth in the standings with two wins from two matches and a goal difference of 6:2. Freiburg, by contrast, occupy 18th place with one win and one loss, having conceded five goals already. On paper, the hosts carry the sharper edge, yet European football has a habit of levelling playing fields when teams cross continents.
Team form
Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor have been ruthless domestically. Their last five Süper Lig outings yielded 15 goals scored and only 3 conceded—a 3.0 per game average in attack paired with disciplined defending. Most recently they beat Gaziantep FK 2-0 at home on 1 November, though that fixture saw them manage 59% possession and 0.96 expected goals, suggesting they were not entirely dominant. Earlier in the campaign they dismantled Rizespor 4-3 away and Galatasaray 4-0 at home, displaying an attacking intent that has defined their season. The 4-1-4-1 shape gives them flexibility to press or sit deep, and Ernest Muçi's creative output—one goal and one assist in their last outing—hints at the midfield drive they can generate.
SC Freiburg
Freiburg's record reads as inconsistent. They won 2-1 at Augsburg on 31 October but lost to Bayern München 3-1 and Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 in their previous two Bundesliga matches. Over their last five games they have scored 8 goals and conceded 9, averaging 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded per game—a defensive fragility that will concern them against Trabzonspor's prolific attack. In their most recent outing against Augsburg they generated 1.45 expected goals from just 2 shots on goal, hinting at efficiency but also a lack of volume. Coach J. Schuster's 4-2-3-1 is built to be compact, yet the Turkish tempo and directness may test their shape.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings between these sides are on record.
Key factors
Trabzonspor's league-stage form has been exceptional—they average 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game in this competition, a stark contrast to Freiburg's 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded. The home crowd at Papara Park will amplify that advantage. Freiburg, however, showed defensive solidity in patches during their Bundesliga campaign and possess the technical quality to frustrate. Mohamed Salah's presence in Trabzonspor's midfield adds a layer of unpredictability, whilst Freiburg's Y. Engelhardt has chipped in with creativity. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.43 odds, reflecting the attacking potential on both sides and the defensive vulnerabilities each carries into this fixture.
Prediction
The expected goals balance is nearly level—Trabzonspor projected at 1.6, Freiburg at 1.56—despite the hosts' superior recent output. This suggests that whilst Trabzonspor's firepower is real, Freiburg's defensive shape and the away-day variables will compress the gap. Bookmaker odds lean marginally toward a home win at 2.45, yet the draw at 3.59 and away win at 2.57 cluster tightly enough to indicate genuine uncertainty. The over 2.5 goals market sits at 1.51, implying a fairly open game where both sides can expect to create chances. Freiburg's away record and Trabzonspor's home record suggest the hosts should edge this, but the margins are paper-thin.
This match is too close to separate. The primary lean favours Trabzonspor at home, yet the odds and expected goals tell a story of a competitive fixture where Freiburg's defensive discipline could frustrate the hosts' attacking ambitions. Both teams to score carries significant appeal given the attacking threat each carries and the defensive frailties both have shown. Expect a tight contest that could go either way—a match where a single moment of quality or a set-piece could decide matters.
Match info
Tournaments:
UEFA Europa Conference League(League Stage - 3)
Referee:
K. Tohver
Stadium
Papara Park, Trabzon
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Trabzonspor
W
W
W
W
W
SC Freiburg
W
W
L
L
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
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Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
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