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Expected score: Benevento 1-0 Avellino
Benevento host Avellino in a Serie B encounter that pits two evenly matched sides on 15 points each after ten games. Benevento sit sixth while Avellino are fifth, both with identical records of four wins, three draws and three losses, making this a genuine tight proposition. The match takes place at Stadio Ciro Vigorito on 7 November 2026.
Team form
Benevento
Benevento have won three of their last five league games, beating Cesena 2-0, Carrarese 1-0, and Hellas Verona 3-1 in September. However, they lost 0-1 at Ascoli and drew 1-1 at home to Sudtirol, suggesting inconsistency. Over those five matches they scored 7 goals and conceded 3. Their season average stands at 1.40 goals scored per game against 1.00 conceded, indicating a side that creates chances but remains vulnerable at the back.
Avellino
Avellino's recent form is more volatile. They demolished Sampdoria 4-1 at home and won 1-0 at Modena, yet lost 1-3 away to Ascoli and drew 1-1 at home to Palermo. Across their last five games they scored 10 goals but also conceded 5, a markedly higher rate than Benevento. Their season average of 1.50 goals scored per game suggests a more attacking approach, though the 1.00 conceded per game masks a defence that has leaked more goals recently.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head records favour Avellino. In their last five meetings, Avellino have won three times and drawn once, with Benevento winning only once. Avellino won the last three encounters, including a 2-1 victory at home in March 2025 and a 1-0 win away in December 2023. Benevento's sole recent win came in May 2017, suggesting they will need to overturn a psychological disadvantage.
Key factors
Benevento's defensive solidity—conceding just 1.00 per game—contrasts with Avellino's more porous record, particularly in recent weeks. Avellino's attacking threat is sharper on paper, averaging 1.50 goals scored, but their inconsistency away from home is notable. Possession and pass accuracy data from their last outings show Avellino controlled the ball (51% and 85% accuracy) while Benevento were more direct (43% and 79%), a pattern that may repeat. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.76, suggesting the market sees a fairly open game despite the defensive records.
Prediction
This is a tight contest with no clear favourite. Benevento's home advantage and superior defensive record give them a slight edge, though Avellino's recent attacking form and head-to-head superiority keep them very much in contention. The model leans marginally toward a Benevento win, reflecting home advantage and tighter defending, but the margin is narrow. A low-scoring outcome appears most likely given both teams' recent patterns, though both sides possess enough attacking threat to trouble each other.
Benevento edge this one, but only just. The hosts should shade a tight match at Stadio Ciro Vigorito, though Avellino will pose a genuine threat. Expect a competitive affair with chances at both ends—a match that could easily go either way or finish level.
Match info
Tournaments:
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26 | |
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 | |
| 3 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | |
| 6 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | |
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | |
| 12 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | |
| 15 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | |
| 16 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
| 17 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | |
| 18 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| 19 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| 20 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
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Benevento vs Avellino - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Benevento vs Avellino football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.