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Dongen vs Noordwijk Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 07-11-2026
Nov 717:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Dongen 0-2 Noordwijk
DongenDrawNoordwijk
Over 2.5 goalsYes (68%)
Both teams to scoreNo (44%)
Dongen host Noordwijk in Derde Divisie regular season action on 7 November, a fixture that pits a mid-table side against the division's runaway leaders. Noordwijk have been exceptional this season, sitting top with 28 points from 11 games, while Dongen occupy eighth place with 16 points. The gap in quality and consistency is stark, and this matchup offers little hope for the hosts.
Team form
Dongen
Dongen's recent form is wildly inconsistent. They opened their last five games with a commanding 3-0 home win over Groene Ster, then suffered a heavy 0-4 defeat away at UDI '19. A 4-0 thrashing of Poortugaal followed, suggesting they can produce attacking football, but defensive fragility remains a concern. Over these five matches, they scored 10 and conceded 9, averaging 2.0 goals for and 1.8 against. The 2-2 draw at UNA and 1-3 loss to Blauw Geel show they struggle to maintain standards. For fantasy purposes, their attack offers occasional upside, but inconsistency makes them unreliable.
Noordwijk
Noordwijk are in a different class. They have won four of their last five games, conceding just twice across the entire run. A 3-0 away victory at Rijnvogels, a 4-0 home demolition of Gemert, and a 2-0 win at EVV showcase their control. Only a 1-2 home loss to Zwaluwen breaks the sequence. Over five matches, they scored 13 and conceded just 0.4 per game on average—an elite defensive record. Their attacking threat is consistent and their defensive solidity is exceptional. For fantasy players, Noordwijk's defenders and goalkeeper are premium assets; their forwards offer reliable attacking returns.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings between these sides are on record, so there is no historical precedent to draw upon.
Key factors
The gulf in league position and form is the dominant factor. Noordwijk lead the division with a 9-1-1 record and a goal difference of +21; Dongen sit eighth at 5-1-5 with a -1 difference. Noordwijk's defensive record is exceptional—just 4 goals conceded in 11 games—while Dongen have conceded 25. The visitors' attacking efficiency is also superior: 2.27 goals per game against Dongen's 2.18. Dongen's home advantage is their only tangible asset, but it is unlikely to overcome such a disparity in quality. Noordwijk's ability to control matches and limit chances makes them a strong defensive proposition.
Prediction
The model strongly favours an away win, reflecting Noordwijk's dominance and Dongen's vulnerability. The expected goals margin—0.62 for the hosts against 2.87 for the visitors—tells the story: Noordwijk should create significantly more and clearer opportunities. Dongen's inconsistency and defensive issues make them unlikely to trouble a side that has conceded only 4 goals all season. The predicted scoreline of 0-2 reflects Noordwijk's clinical efficiency and Dongen's expected struggle to score against such a disciplined defence.
Noordwijk are clear favourites and should win this match. For fantasy players, backing Noordwijk's defence and attacking assets makes sense; Dongen's unpredictability makes them a risky proposition. A comfortable away victory is the most likely outcome.
Match info
Tournaments:
Derde Divisie(Regular Season - 12)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Dongen
L
W
L
W
D
Noordwijk
L
W
W
W
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Harkemase Boys | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
| 2 |  ACV | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| 3 |  VV Scherpenzeel | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| 4 |  TEC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| 5 |  Excelsior '31 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 22 |
| 6 |  SC Genemuiden | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sportlust '46 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 |  Purmersteijn | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Sparta Nijkerk | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 |  ADO '20 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 11 |  Hoogeveen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 |
| 12 |  Hercules | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 |
| 13 |  Eemdijk | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 |
| 14 |  DVS 33 Ermelo | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 15 |  Staphorst | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Hollandia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 |
| 17 |  Dovo | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
| 18 |  SVZW | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
| 1 |  Noordwijk | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 |
| 2 |  FC Lisse | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 |
| 3 |  Excelsior Maassluis | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
| 4 |  Rijnvogels | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| 5 |  UDI '19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 |
| 6 |  Zwaluwen | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 |  Poortugaal | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 18 |
| 8 |  Dongen | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 |
| 9 |  Gemert | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 |  GOES | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 11 |  Blauw Geel | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 12 |  TOGB | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 13 |  UNA | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 14 |  Roosendaal | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| 15 |  Groene Ster | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Vvsb | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 |
| 17 |  Achilles Veen | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 |  EVV | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
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Dongen vs Noordwijk - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Dongen vs Noordwijk football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
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