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Felgueiras 1932 vs Leixoes Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 07-11-2026
Nov 711:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Felgueiras 1932 1-0 Leixoes
Felgueiras 1932DrawLeixoes
Felgueiras 1932 host Leixoes in Segunda Liga Round 10 at Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos. Both sides sit in the lower half of the table but carry contrasting momentum into this fixture. The bookmakers see this as a tight affair, with the home side priced marginally shorter despite occupying 17th place.
Team form
Felgueiras 1932
Felgueiras have won just once in nine games and sit on 7 points, but their recent record shows fight. They lost 2-3 away to Tondela on 1 November after a 2-2 draw at home to Lusitânia Lourosa the week before. Over their last five outings they've scored 5 and conceded 9. The hosts average 1.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game this season—defensively tighter than their visitors. Coach Moreno's 3-5-2 formation from their last outing gave them 37% possession and 5 shots on goal, a setup that leans on compactness rather than control.
Leixoes
Leixoes sit 13th with 10 points from 9 games but have lost three of their last five, including a 1-2 home defeat to Sporting CP B on 31 October. They were hammered 0-4 away at Academica the week before that. Over the same five-game window they've also scored 5 and conceded 9—identical to Felgueiras—yet their season average of 1.56 goals conceded per game is noticeably worse. Fangueiro's 4-4-2 from their last match saw them hold 54% possession but manage only 4 shots on goal, a sign of blunt finishing.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head leans Leixoes' way. They won 1-0 away in January 2026 and 3-0 at home in August 2025. Felgueiras' sole win in four meetings came at home in April 2025 when they won 4-0, while a 2-2 draw in December 2024 shows this fixture can produce goals. Home advantage has mattered in this pairing—Felgueiras won their one home victory decisively, while Leixoes have won both their away trips.
Key factors
Felgueiras' defensive record at home (1.33 conceded per game) is their strongest asset and gives them a platform here. Leixoes' away form is poor, and their leaky defence (1.56 conceded per game) could be exposed by a side fighting for points. Neither team is prolific—both average around 1.0 goals scored per game—so low-scoring outcomes are plausible. The bookmakers price over 2.5 goals at 2.13, reflecting genuine uncertainty about whether either side will break through convincingly. Both teams to score sits at 1.83, suggesting the market sees a realistic chance of a competitive, open game.
Prediction
Felgueiras hold a slight edge at home. They're more defensively stable on their own ground and Leixoes arrive in poor form with a fragile away record. The model favours a home win, though only marginally—this is finely balanced and far from a foregone conclusion. Leixoes have the quality to trouble the hosts, especially given Felgueiras' recent losses, but the home side's compactness and Leixoes' bluntness in front of goal tilt the balance narrowly toward the hosts.
Back Felgueiras 1932 at 2.65. The home side's defensive solidity and Leixoes' away struggles create a slight edge for the hosts, though this remains a tight contest. A low-scoring home win is the likeliest outcome, but don't rule out a draw or a competitive match. The over/under 2.5 goals market is too close to call—both sides lack the firepower for a high-scoring affair, yet neither defence is watertight enough to guarantee a shut-out.
Match info
Tournaments:
Segunda Liga(Regular Season - 10)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos, Felgueiras
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Felgueiras 1932
L
D
W
L
W
Leixoes
L
L
L
L
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sporting CP B | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 |
| 2 |  Penafiel | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
| 3 |  Lusitânia Lourosa | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19 |
| 4 |  Benfica B | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 5 |  Farense | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 |  Academica | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 |  Tondela | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Vizela | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 |  União de Leiria | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 |  AVS | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Portimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 12 |  Torreense | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Leixoes | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 |  Amarante | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 15 |  Chaves | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 16 |  FC Porto B | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Felgueiras 1932 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 18 |  Feirense | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
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Felgueiras 1932 vs Leixoes - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Felgueiras 1932 vs Leixoes football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.