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Leeds vs Tottenham Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 07-11-2026
Nov 712:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Leeds 1-0 Tottenham
LeedsDrawTottenham
Over 2.5 goalsNo (36%)
Both teams to scoreNo (42%)
Leeds host Tottenham in a Premier League fixture that pits two sides locked in mid-table uncertainty against each other. After 9 games, Leeds sit 12th with 11 points while Tottenham occupy 9th with 12 points — a single point separates them. Both teams have shown inconsistency this season, making this a genuinely competitive encounter at Elland Road.
Team form
Leeds
Leeds have struggled in recent weeks, winning just 2 of their last 5 Premier League games and conceding 5 goals across that span. Their most recent outing saw them lose 0-2 away at Bournemouth on 31 October, where they managed only 1 shot on goal despite 56% possession. The underlying metrics were poor: just 0.69 expected goals suggests they created little of substance. Over the season, Leeds average 1.00 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game — a narrow margin that reflects their mid-table standing. They will need sharper finishing and defensive discipline to trouble Tottenham.
Tottenham
Tottenham have shown more attacking intent, scoring 8 goals across their last 5 games (1.6 per game) compared to Leeds' 2. They won their last two outings: 2-0 at Chelsea on 24 October and 3-1 at home to Coventry on 19 October. That Chelsea victory saw them register 4 shots on goal and 0.8 expected goals, indicating clinical finishing. Across the season, Tottenham average 1.11 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game — a balanced profile that masks their recent upturn in form. De Zerbi's side appear to have found rhythm at the right moment.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record shows Tottenham's dominance in recent years. They have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, including victories of 4-3 at home in November 2022 and 2-1 at home in November 2021. Leeds' last win came in January 2013 at home. The most recent clash, in May 2026, ended 1-1. Tottenham's track record at Elland Road is formidable, though Leeds will draw confidence from a draw in their most recent encounter.
Key factors
Formation and structure matter here. Leeds operate a 3-4-2-1 that offers defensive solidity but can be vulnerable on the wings, while Tottenham's 4-2-3-1 provides a balanced platform for their attacking midfielders. Tottenham's goalkeeper A. Kinský has been assured (7.77 rating), and their midfield depth — Mateus Fernandes (7.5), S. Tonali (7.19) and M. Tel (8.09, 1 goal) — gives them control. Leeds' J. Trafford (6.83) faces a stern test. Possession will likely favour Tottenham, but Leeds' compact shape may limit clear-cut chances. Both defences have been leaky: Leeds conceded 5 in their last 5, Tottenham 5 in theirs.
Prediction
The data points to a tight contest. Tottenham's recent form and superior goal-scoring rate (1.6 per game vs 0.4) suggest they should edge chances created, yet Leeds' defensive structure and home advantage offer resistance. The bookmakers price both outcomes almost equally — home win at 2.59 and away win at 2.69 — reflecting genuine uncertainty. Expected goals favour Tottenham marginally (1.02 to 1.1), but the margin is negligible. Goals are likely to be sparse; the over 2.5 market sits at 1.94, indicating a fairly tight affair.
This match is too close to separate. The lean falls narrowly toward a Leeds win, but Tottenham's recent momentum and away record make them equally credible. A low-scoring contest appears probable, with both sides capable of snatching a narrow victory. Bettors should expect a cagey, competitive game where fine margins decide the outcome.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Leeds
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Tottenham
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Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
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Leeds vs Tottenham - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Leeds vs Tottenham football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
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