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Expected score: Nantong Haimen Codion 2-0 Shangyu Pterosaur
Nantong Haimen Codion host Shangyu Pterosaur in League Two's Relegation Group on 7 November at Haimen Sports Center Stadium. This is a critical fixture in the lower reaches of China's fourth tier, where both sides are fighting to avoid the drop. The hosts come in as heavy favourites based on recent head-to-head dominance and marginally stronger current form.
Team form
Nantong Haimen Codion
Nantong have taken 5 points from their last five League Two matches, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Their most recent outing saw them draw 2-2 at home against Shanghai Second on 27 May, a result that suggests defensive vulnerability despite creating chances. Before that, they secured a 1-0 away win at Qingdao Red Lions. The pattern shows an inconsistent side—capable of both scoring and leaking goals in equal measure. They average 1.0 goal per game and 1.0 conceded over this run, indicating a team that can be broken down.
Shangyu Pterosaur
Shangyu have accumulated 7 points from five matches, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Their form is more volatile: a 3-0 home demolition of Shenzhen 2028 on 22 May was followed by a 0-2 defeat away at Guangzhou Dandelion just five days later. They average 1.2 goals per game but only 0.8 conceded, suggesting a side that creates more than it defends against—a concerning profile when facing a home team with attacking intent. Their recent away record is poor, losing their last match on the road.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record heavily favours Nantong. In their last five meetings, Nantong won three times, drew twice, and Shangyu never won. Most tellingly, Nantong won 4-1 at home in September 2023 and 3-2 away in August 2022, demonstrating clear superiority in both fixtures. The only draws came in 2022. This historical edge is a significant factor in Nantong's favour, particularly playing at home where they have consistently dominated this opponent.
Key factors
Nantong's home advantage at Haimen Sports Center Stadium is crucial—they drew their last home game but have shown they can score freely against Shangyu historically. Shangyu's away form is a critical weakness; they lost their most recent trip and have conceded 4 goals in five recent matches. Coach Baoan Cui's Nantong side, despite inconsistency, have the tactical and historical edge. Shangyu's coach Dragan Stancic faces a team that knows how to hurt them. The relegation context adds urgency, but Nantong's superior recent record and home status make them the clear threat.
Prediction
Nantong should win this match. They dominate the head-to-head record, play at home, and face an away side with a fragile defensive record. Shangyu's 0-2 loss at Guangzhou Dandelion and inconsistent form away from home suggest they lack the resilience needed to frustrate Nantong here. The hosts' ability to score—demonstrated in their 4-1 and 4-2 victories over this opponent—should tell in a relegation battle where points are desperately needed. Shangyu will struggle to create the attacking platform required to threaten.
A home win is the clear outcome to back. Nantong's historical dominance over Shangyu, combined with home advantage and the visitors' poor away form, makes this a strong favourite. Expect the hosts to control possession and create the clearer chances. A comfortable victory is the most likely result.
Match info
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Stadium
Haimen Sports Center Stadium, Nantong
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Nantong Haimen Codion vs Shangyu Pterosaur - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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