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Odense vs Viborg Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 07-11-2026
Nov 717:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Odense 1-2 Viborg
OdenseDrawViborg
Both teams to scoreYes (59%)
Odense hosts Viborg in a Superliga Regular Season fixture at Odense Stadium with the visitors favoured despite the hosts' home advantage. Viborg sit third with 23 points from 13 games, while Odense occupy sixth with 17 points. The bookmakers price Viborg as slight favourites at 2.35, though the market suggests this is far from a foregone conclusion—all three outcomes cluster tightly in the 27–43% range, signalling genuine uncertainty.
Team form
Odense
Odense have won two of their last five matches but conceded 6 goals across that run, a concerning defensive record. Their season average of 1.31 goals conceded per game ranks as a weakness, and they have managed only 1.15 scored. In their most recent outing on 2026-08-03, they beat Sonderjyske 1-0 at home with 56% possession and 2.10 expected goals, suggesting they created chances but converted narrowly. The underlying metrics hint at a team that can be dangerous in attack yet remains vulnerable at the back.
Viborg
Viborg have won three of their last five and conceded just 2 goals in that span—a sharp defensive showing. Their season average of 1.54 goals scored and 0.92 conceded reflects a more controlled, efficient approach than Odense's. Most tellingly, Viborg beat Odense 1-0 at home on 2026-07-24, a recent head-to-head result that carries weight. In their last outing on 2026-08-14, they won 2-1 at home versus Aarhus with only 34% possession and 83% pass accuracy, demonstrating their ability to win without dominating the ball.
Head-to-head
The historical record favours Odense heavily: they won 5-1 at home in 2016, 2-0 at home in 2015, and 4-2 at home in 2013. However, those fixtures date back a decade or more and carry limited relevance to current squads. The most recent meeting—Viborg's 1-0 victory at home against Odense on 2026-07-24—is the only recent data point and suggests the visitors have found a formula to trouble their hosts.
Key factors
Viborg's superior defensive record and recent head-to-head win are significant. Odense's leaky defence (1.31 conceded per game) faces a Viborg attack that has scored consistently this season. Conversely, Odense's home record and creative capacity—evidenced by their 2.10 xG against Sonderjyske—cannot be dismissed. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 68% probability, reflecting genuine expectation of goals at both ends. The over/under 2.5 market leans toward goals, with over 2.5 priced at 65% probability against 43% for under, suggesting a higher-scoring affair is more likely.
Prediction
The statistical model leans toward an away win, identifying Viborg as the most likely outcome despite the narrow margin. Viborg's league position, defensive solidity, and recent victory over Odense provide concrete reasoning. Odense's home advantage and attacking potential keep this competitive, but Viborg's efficiency—winning games with limited possession—suggests they are the more rounded proposition. The expected goals favour Viborg marginally, and their ability to control matches without dominating possession aligns with a road victory.
This is a wide-open contest with three plausible outcomes separated by minimal margins. Viborg edge ahead as the most likely result, but Odense at home and a draw both remain credible. Backing Viborg represents the model's primary pick, though the tight clustering of probabilities demands caution. The match is unlikely to be one-sided; expect a competitive, closely fought encounter where fine margins decide the outcome.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Odense
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Viborg
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Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Midtjylland | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 31 |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
| 3 |  Viborg | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 |  Brondby | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 |
| 5 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 |
| 6 |  Odense | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 |
| 7 |  AC Horsens | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 |  Aarhus | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 9 |  Silkeborg | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 10 |  Randers FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 |
| 11 |  Lyngby | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 12 |  Sonderjyske | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 |
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Odense vs Viborg - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Odense vs Viborg football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.