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Oldenburger SV vs TSB Flensburg Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 07-11-2026
Nov 712:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Oldenburger SV 1-2 TSB Flensburg
Oldenburger SVDrawTSB Flensburg
Over 2.5 goalsYes (79%)
Both teams to scoreYes (74%)
Oldenburger SV hosts TSB Flensburg in the Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein on 7 November 2026, a fixture that pits a mid-table side against a genuine promotion contender. Flensburg sit fourth with 26 points from 15 games, while Oldenburg occupy ninth with 19 points. The visitors arrive as the favourite, and the underlying metrics support that assessment decisively.
Team form
Oldenburger SV
Oldenburg's recent record is erratic. They beat Kaltenkirchen 5-1 away and Rapid Lübeck 5-0 away, but lost 0-3 at home to Kilia Kiel and 3-4 away to Holstein Kiel II. The draw with SV Eichede (2-2) sits between those extremes. Over their last five matches they have scored 15 and conceded 10, a 3.0 and 2.0 per game average respectively. The attacking output masks a fragile defensive structure; they have conceded 35 goals across the season at an average of 2.33 per game, suggesting vulnerability against a clinical opponent.
TSB Flensburg
Flensburg have won three of their last five, most recently dispatching Nordmark Satrup 4-0 at home. They drew 4-4 away at Phönix L. II and lost 2-4 at home to Eckernförder SV, but their overall trajectory is upward. Crucially, their defensive record is substantially stronger: 20 goals conceded across 15 games yields 1.33 per game, a marked difference from Oldenburg's 2.33. They have scored 38 goals this season and conceded only 20, a +18 goal difference compared to Oldenburg's +3. This is not coincidence; it reflects a side built to win tight contests.
Head-to-head
The last five meetings between these clubs tell a cautionary tale for Oldenburg. Three of the five ended in draws (2-2, 3-3, 2-2), but Flensburg won 4-1 at home in February 2023, while Oldenburg's sole victory came at home in November 2022 (2-1). Flensburg have demonstrated they can dismantle Oldenburg away from home; the 4-1 scoreline suggests a performance gap that has not narrowed.
Key factors
Flensburg's defensive discipline is the decisive factor. They concede 1.33 goals per game versus Oldenburg's 2.33—a 43% difference. Oldenburg score at 2.53 per game, identical to Flensburg, but Flensburg's ability to limit opposition chances is markedly superior. Oldenburg's home record shows volatility; they have been both ruthless (5-1, 5-0) and exposed (0-3, 3-4). Against a fourth-placed side with a +18 goal difference and a robust defensive structure, that inconsistency is likely to be punished. Flensburg's recent form, anchored by three wins in five, suggests a side hitting form at the right moment.
Prediction
Flensburg are the favourite to win. Their league position, goal difference, defensive record, and recent trajectory all point to a visiting victory. Oldenburg's attacking potential means this will not be a rout—both sides should score—but Flensburg's control and efficiency make them the more likely winner. The expected goal balance favours the visitors, and their proven ability to win away from home (including the 4-1 result here two years ago) reinforces the case.
Back Flensburg to win. They are the favourite and the metrics justify it. Expect a fairly open game with both sides creating chances, but Flensburg's defensive solidity and clinical finishing should prove decisive. A 1-2 scoreline is the most likely outcome.
Match info
Tournaments:
Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein(Schleswig-Holstein - 16)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Oldenburger SV
L
D
L
D
W
TSB Flensburg
W
L
W
L
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kilia Kiel | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 33 |
| 2 |  Holstein Kiel II | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 |
| 3 |  VfR Neumünster | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31 |
| 4 |  TSB Flensburg | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 |  Rotenhof | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 |  Heider SV | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 |
| 7 |  SV Eichede | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 |  Union Neumünster | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 |
| 9 |  Oldenburger SV | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Rapid Lubeck | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 19 |
| 11 |  Phönix L. II | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 |
| 12 |  Eckernförder SV | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 14 |
| 13 |  Hohenwestedt | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 |
| 14 |  Nordmark Satrup | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 |
| 15 |  Kaltenkirchen | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| 16 |  Lübeck II | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 |
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