Not Started
Padova vs Empoli Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 07-11-2026
Nov 714:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Padova 1-0 Empoli
PadovaDrawEmpoli
Padova host Empoli at Stadio Euganeo in Serie B's 11th round, with the home side seeking to climb the table against a struggling visitor. Padova sit ninth on 14 points after ten matches, while Empoli languish in 18th with just 8 points. The hosts enter as a slight favourite to take the three points.
Team form
Padova
Padova have won 4 of their 10 games but recent results tell a harder story. They lost 0-2 at home to Carrarese on 11 October, then fell 1-2 away at Palermo before that. Over their last five matches they have scored 4 and conceded 8, averaging 0.8 goals for and 1.6 against. In their most recent outing, they managed just 1 shot on goal despite 57% possession, a sign that chances have been difficult to create. Roberto Breda's 3-5-2 setup has the midfield depth to control play, but conversion remains a concern.
Empoli
Empoli's season has deteriorated sharply. They have won only 2 of 10 matches and lost four of their last five, including a 0-2 home defeat to Vicenza Virtus most recently. Over the same five-game stretch they have scored 4 and conceded 10, averaging 0.8 goals for and 2.0 against—a defensive record that exposes their vulnerability. Their 0.53 expected goals in their last match underscores a team struggling to generate attacking threat. With 1.70 goals conceded per game across the season, they arrive in poor defensive shape.
Head-to-head
The teams have met twice recently. Padova won 1-0 at home in April 2026, while Empoli claimed a 3-1 victory on their own ground in August 2025. The head-to-head is split, but Padova's home record against Empoli is the stronger one.
Key factors
Padova's midfield control—evidenced by 57% possession in their last game and 87% pass accuracy—should allow them to dictate tempo. Empoli's defensive fragility is the decisive factor: conceding 1.70 per game and 10 goals in five recent matches, they will struggle to contain Padova's attacking shape. Empoli's attacking output has dried up, managing just 0.53 expected goals in their most recent fixture. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.75, reflecting genuine uncertainty about whether Empoli can threaten, but their form suggests Padova should create the clearer opportunities.
Prediction
Padova hold a narrow edge. They are the stronger team in the standings, have superior recent possession and passing metrics, and face an Empoli side in freefall defensively. While Padova's own finishing has been inconsistent—they managed only 1 shot on goal last time out—they should still generate more chances than their visitors. Empoli's inability to score (0.8 per game over five matches) and vulnerability at the back (2.0 conceded per game) make them unlikely to trouble the hosts significantly. The balance of play should favour Padova, though Empoli's desperation may produce moments of chaos.
Back Padova to win. They are the slight favourite and should control the match through midfield possession and defensive solidity. Empoli arrive in poor form and without the attacking or defensive tools to earn a result. A low-scoring home win is the most likely outcome.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Padova
D
W
W
L
L
Empoli
D
L
L
D
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 |  Sudtirol | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
Other Football matches
Padova vs Empoli - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Padova vs Empoli football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.