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Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 07-11-2026
Nov 710:45
Match Prediction
Expected score: Perth Glory 2-1 Newcastle Jets
Perth GloryDrawNewcastle Jets
Over 2.5 goalsYes (70%)
Both teams to scoreYes (72%)
Perth Glory host Newcastle Jets in Round 4 of the A-League regular season at HBF Park. This fixture pits a side in recovery against one struggling to find consistency. Perth sit eighth with 3 points from three matches; Newcastle occupy eleventh with 2 points. The hosts arrive with momentum after a commanding 4-0 victory over Adelaide United, while the visitors are without a win in five outings across all competitions.
Team form
Perth Glory
Perth Glory have shown volatility early in the season. Their most recent outing delivered a dominant performance—they scored 4 goals and conceded none against Adelaide United, recording 8 shots on goal despite holding just 35% possession. That display masks a shakier underlying record: they lost 1-2 to Brisbane Roar and 1-2 to Macarthur in their two prior league games. Across their last five matches, Perth have scored 1.8 goals per game and conceded 1.4. The 4-4-2 formation they deployed last time provides width and attacking support, with Jaiden Kucharski (rated 8.7) and Stefan Colakovski (rated 6.6) contributing in midfield.
Newcastle Jets
Newcastle Jets are in a difficult spell. They have drawn twice and lost three of their last five matches, conceding 3.0 goals per game—a concerning defensive trend. Their most recent outing, a 2-4 loss to Shanghai SIPG in the AFC Champions League Elite, preceded a 0-3 home defeat to Wellington Phoenix in the league. Across these five games, they have managed only 1.4 goals per game. Coach Mark Milligan's 4-1-4-1 setup prioritises defensive stability, but the underlying numbers suggest the back line is porous. P. Wood (rated 7.66) and X. Bertoncello (rated 7.32) provide attacking threat, yet the midfield has struggled to shield the defence effectively.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record favours Perth Glory decisively. In their last five meetings, Perth have won three times at home (1-0, 2-0, 3-2) while Newcastle have won twice away (2-1, 2-1). Perth's home record against Newcastle is particularly strong, having not lost at HBF Park in this sequence. That historical advantage, combined with Perth's superior recent form, shapes the narrative.
Key factors
Perth's attacking potency at home is the primary factor. Their 4-4-2 encourages forward play, and the recent 4-0 scoreline demonstrates they can overwhelm opponents. Newcastle's defensive fragility—conceding 2.0 goals per game on average this season and 3.0 over their last five—presents a clear vulnerability. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.42, reflecting Newcastle's inability to keep clean sheets and Perth's capacity to create chances. Possession will likely favour Newcastle (they averaged 46% last time out), but Perth's efficiency in transition and set-piece threat at home should compensate. Newcastle's lack of a win in five matches compounds their challenge; they need a result but arrive without the form or defensive solidity to secure one.
Prediction
Perth enter as slight favourites on the basis of home advantage, superior recent form, and a strong historical record against Newcastle. The hosts' attacking threat, anchored by Kucharski's quality and the width of their 4-4-2, should generate clear-cut opportunities. Newcastle's defensive record and current form suggest they will struggle to contain Perth for 90 minutes. However, Newcastle possess attacking talent—Wood and Bertoncello are capable finishers—and the visitors' willingness to press in midfield means they can create chances on the counter. This is not a mismatch; it is a tight contest tilted toward the home side.
Perth Glory are backed to secure a narrow win. The balance of form, home advantage, and historical precedent supports a Perth victory, though Newcastle's attacking potential and Perth's occasional defensive lapses mean the margin will be close. A fairly open game is expected, with both sides likely to score and goals probable.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Perth Glory
W
L
L
L
W
Newcastle Jets
L
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L
D
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Wellington Phoenix | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 |  Western Sydney Wanderers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 3 |  Macarthur | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 4 |  Brisbane Roar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 |  Sydney | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 |  Auckland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 |  Melbourne City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 |  Perth Glory | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Melbourne Victory | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 10 |  Central Coast Mariners | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 11 |  Newcastle Jets | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 12 |  Adelaide United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
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Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.