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Petrópolis vs Duque de Caxias Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 07-11-2026
Nov 718:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Petrópolis 1-1 Duque de Caxias
PetrópolisDrawDuque de Caxias
Over 2.5 goalsNo (35%)
Petrópolis host Duque de Caxias in Carioca - 2 Round 11, with both sides sitting comfortably in the upper half of the table. The visitors hold a one-point edge at third place, while Petrópolis occupy fifth. This is a tight contest between two sides who've shown contrasting patterns — one built on solidity, the other on recent momentum.
Team form
Petrópolis
Petrópolis have won just two of their last five, but those victories came away from home against Nova Cidade and Macaé. They've drawn three of five at home, including back-to-back stalemates against Carapebus and Serrano RJ. Over the five-game stretch they've scored 1.2 per game and conceded 0.8, which tracks their season average of 1.20 scored and 0.70 conceded. They're a defensive unit first, but their attack lacks penetration — only 12 goals in 10 games.
Duque de Caxias
Duque de Caxias have been the sharper side lately, winning three of their last five with a 7-5 goal tally over that run. They've scored 1.4 per game across five matches, below their season average of 1.60, and conceded 1.0 — slightly higher than their 0.80 seasonal rate. The two losses came against Goytacaz and Niteroiense, but they've beaten Artsul, Campo Grande and Audax Rio convincingly. They're the more attacking threat on paper.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record is split. Duque de Caxias won at home in September 2025 (1-0), but Petrópolis took an away victory at their ground in May 2025 (2-0). Duque de Caxias also won away in June 2024 (2-1). Neither side has dominated this fixture — it's been genuinely competitive.
Key factors
Petrópolis' defensive discipline is their strength; they've conceded just seven goals in ten games. However, their attack is blunt — they've managed only 12 goals all season. Duque de Caxias bring more firepower and have shown they can score in bursts, but their away record is mixed and they've shipped five goals in their last five matches. The visitor's inconsistency away from home and Petrópolis' stubborn rearguard suggest a low-scoring affair. Both teams average under 1.5 goals per game, and neither has shown they can break down a well-organised defence easily.
Prediction
This is genuinely wide open. Duque de Caxias are the better side in terms of recent form and attacking output, but Petrópolis' home advantage and defensive record make them tough to break down. The head-to-head is split, and neither team has a clear edge. The expected goal balance is almost even, with Duque de Caxias marginally ahead. Given the defensive nature of both sides and the close nature of their recent meetings, a draw emerges as the most likely outcome, though a home win and an away win remain realistic alternatives.
Back a draw. Both sides will likely cancel each other out — Petrópolis' defence versus Duque de Caxias' attack should produce a stalemate. The market is finely balanced across all three outcomes, but the draw offers the best value given the tactical setup and recent patterns. If you're looking for goals, this match is too close to call on both teams to score.
Match info
Tournaments:
Carioca - 2(Regular Season - 11)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Petrópolis
W
D
D
W
D
Duque de Caxias
L
D
W
W
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Goytacaz | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 |
| 2 |  Serrano RJ | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 |
| 3 |  Duque de Caxias | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 |  Niteroiense | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 |  Petrópolis | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 |  Artsul | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 |  Campo Grande | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 8 |  Macaé | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 9 |  São Cristóvão RJ | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 10 |  Nova Cidade | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 11 |  Audax Rio | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 |
| 12 |  Carapebus | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 |
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Petrópolis vs Duque de Caxias - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Petrópolis vs Duque de Caxias football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.