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Samsunspor vs Konyaspor Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 07-11-2026
Nov 713:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Samsunspor 1-0 Konyaspor
SamsunsporDrawKonyaspor
Over 2.5 goalsNo (44%)
Samsunspor host Konyaspor in Süper Lig Round 11 at the Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu. Both sides are struggling in the lower reaches of the table, but this fixture carries real stakes for teams fighting to avoid the drop. Samsunspor sit 17th with 4 points; Konyaspor are marginally better placed at 15th with 8 points. On paper, this looks tight — and the numbers bear that out.
Team form
Samsunspor
Samsunspor are in freefall. They have lost their last five league matches, conceding 15 goals in that run while scoring just 3. The 1-2 defeat to Amed on 24 October was their most recent outing, and the underlying metrics were bleak: 48% possession, 1.08 expected goals, only 3 shots on target. Over the season they average 1.00 goal per game but leak 2.60 — a defensive record that demands urgent attention. Playing at home offers a chance to reset, but recent form suggests they lack the resilience to capitalise on it.
Konyaspor
Konyaspor have been more measured, though hardly convincing. Two draws in their last five matches — 0-0 against Başakşehir and 0-0 against Kasımpaşa — show a team that defends compactly but struggles to break down opposition. Their solitary win came against Trabzonspor (1-0), but they have also lost twice. Offensively, they are blunt: 0.60 goals per game across the season. In their most recent fixture on 11 October, they managed just 0.41 expected goals and 3 shots on target despite 55% possession. That pattern of sterile dominance is a concern for a side needing to win.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record is a masterclass in stalemate. Of the last five meetings, three have ended level — most recently a 2-2 draw in April 2026. Konyaspor won 1-0 away in September 2024, but draws dominate this fixture. That historical tendency toward shared spoils is worth noting given both teams' current fragility in attack.
Key factors
Samsunspor's home advantage is their only real asset; Konyaspor's defensive discipline has kept them in games even when toothless going forward. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.72, reflecting genuine uncertainty — that market is finely balanced. Over 2.5 goals sits at 1.94, suggesting a fairly low-scoring affair is expected. Samsunspor's formation (3-5-2) offers width through the midfield, but their recent inability to convert chances is alarming. Konyaspor's 4-2-3-1 is built for control rather than penetration. Coach Nenad Bjelica will demand intensity from Samsunspor; Ilhan Palut's Konyaspor will seek to frustrate and steal a goal on the counter.
Prediction
The model favours a home win, but only marginally — this is a tight contest with no clear favourite. Samsunspor's desperation at home, combined with Konyaspor's inability to score consistently, points to a narrow Samsunspor victory. The expected goals favour the hosts fractionally (1.28 to 1.14), and they have won at home before in this fixture. However, the margin is wafer-thin. Konyaspor's defensive solidity and recent draws suggest they will make this difficult. A 1-0 scoreline is the most probable outcome, but 1-1 and 0-1 remain entirely plausible.
Back Samsunspor to win, but do so with caution. This is not a strong conviction — the hosts have been dire, and Konyaspor's compact shape will test their patience. The value lies in the slight edge at home, but expect a cagey, low-scoring match where one moment decides it. For those seeking safer ground, the draw and under 2.5 goals both merit serious consideration. This is a match for shrewd punters, not bold ones.
Match info
Tournaments:
Süper Lig(Regular Season - 11)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu, Samsun
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Samsunspor
L
L
L
L
L
Konyaspor
L
W
L
D
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 25 |
| 2 |  Amed | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 |  Kasımpaşa | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17 |
| 6 |  Fenerbahçe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 |  Çorum FK | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Kocaelispor | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 |
| 9 |  Göztepe | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 |  Başakşehir | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 11 |  Erzurumspor FK | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Alanyaspor | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 13 |  Rizespor | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 14 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Konyaspor | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| 16 |  Gaziantep FK | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 |
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Samsunspor vs Konyaspor - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Samsunspor vs Konyaspor football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.