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SC Farense U19 vs Alverca U19 Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 07-11-2026
Nov 715:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: SC Farense U19 3-2 Alverca U19
SC Farense U19DrawAlverca U19
Over 2.5 goalsYes (89%)
Both teams to scoreYes (84%)
SC Farense U19 and Alverca U19 meet in the Júniores U19 Regular Season with both sides locked on 9 points from 10 games. Farense sit eighth, Alverca ninth, separated only by goal difference in a congested mid-table picture. The hosts carry marginal favouritism into this fixture, though the gap between the teams is narrow enough that the outcome remains genuinely uncertain.
Team form
SC Farense U19
Farense's recent record reads as chaotic rather than encouraging. They drew 4-4 away at Torreense on 31 October—a result that suggests defensive fragility—and followed that with a 1-1 draw at Oriental. A 3-1 home win over União Leiria offered respite, but losses to Casa Pia (2-4) and Santa Clara (1-2) bookend a five-game stretch in which they conceded 12 goals. Over their last five matches they have scored 11 but shipped 2.4 per game, a rate well above their season average of 2.20 conceded. Inconsistency defines their campaign.
Alverca U19
Alverca's trajectory is steadier. A 4-0 demolition of Santa Clara at home on 31 October suggests they can impose themselves when conditions favour them, and a 2-1 win at Oriental reinforces that. Yet they have lost twice in five outings—0-2 at União Leiria and 1-2 at Torreense—and conceded 6 goals across the sequence. Their season average of 1.70 conceded is notably better than Farense's 2.20, and they have scored only 1.40 per game, indicating a side that leans on defensive discipline rather than attacking flair.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head favours Farense. They won 3-2 away at Alverca in August this year and triumphed 3-1 at home in October 2023. Alverca's sole victory came at home in January 2024 (1-0), a result now nearly two years old. Farense have won two of the last three meetings and scored freely in both victories, suggesting they have the tactical measure of their opponents.
Key factors
Farense's defensive vulnerability is the match's defining tension. They concede at a rate 30% higher than Alverca over the season, and their recent form has exposed that further. Alverca, conversely, have tightened at the back and should be capable of limiting Farense's attacking output. The hosts' home advantage and superior head-to-head record count in their favour, but Alverca's recent solidity and lower concession rate suggest they will not be overrun. Both sides have scored in three of their last five games, hinting at an open contest rather than a defensive stalemate.
Prediction
Farense are the favourite on the basis of home advantage, recent head-to-head dominance, and a slightly higher season goal average. However, their defensive record is poor enough that backing them with confidence would be unwise. Alverca have shown they can be compact and efficient, particularly in their last two wins. The model leans toward a home victory, but the probability sits at 56.5%—barely above the coin-flip threshold. Alverca's away form and defensive improvements make them a credible threat. An open game with goals at both ends appears more likely than a one-sided affair.
SC Farense are the favourite to win, but only marginally. The match should produce goals. Expect a fairly competitive encounter in which Farense's home advantage and recent record against Alverca give them the edge, yet Alverca's defensive discipline keeps them firmly in contention. The odds reflect a tight contest, and they should.
Match info
Tournaments:
Júniores U19(Regular Season - 11)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
SC Farense U19
D
D
W
L
L
Alverca U19
W
L
W
L
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vitoria Guimaraes U19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 |
| 2 |  Porto U19 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| 3 |  Rio Ave U19 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 |  Gil Vicente U19 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 |  Feirense U19 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu U19 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 |  Famalicão U19 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 |  Sporting Braga U19 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 9 |  Moreirense U19 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 10 |  Vizela U19 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 1 |  Sporting CP U19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19 |
| 2 |  Benfica U19 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
| 3 |  Santa Clara U19 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 |  Torreense U19 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 |  Casa Pia U19 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 |  Oriental U19 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 |  Mafra U19 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 |  SC Farense U19 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 9 |  Alverca U19 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 10 |  União Leiria U19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
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