Not Started
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 07-11-2026
Nov 714:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1-0 FC UFA
Shinnik YaroslavlDrawFC UFA
Over 2.5 goalsNo (31%)
Both teams to scoreNo (39%)
Shinnik Yaroslavl host FC UFA in First League Round 17, a matchup between two mid-table sides separated by just one point. Both teams sit in the congested middle of the standings with identical records of five wins and multiple draws. The hosts carry a slight edge in goal difference and recent domestic league form, setting up a contest where the bookmakers see genuine uncertainty—no outcome commands more than 41% implied probability. This is a fixture where tactical discipline and clinical finishing will determine the outcome.
Team form
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl have taken 1.4 goals per game across their last five outings, though that includes a cup victory over Torpedo Moskva. In league play alone, they drew 2-2 with Arsenal Tula and lost 0-3 away to Nizhny Novgorod, showing inconsistency. Over the full season they average 1.25 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per match, establishing themselves as a team that creates opportunities but remains vulnerable on the counter. Their home record this term provides a foundation, though possession data from their last outing (35%) suggests they do not always dominate the ball.
FC UFA
FC UFA arrive on a mixed run. Their recent form spans friendlies and league play, with two losses to Nizhny Novgorod sandwiched around a 3-0 home win over Leningradets in July. Season averages of 1.13 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per match indicate a side built more on defensive solidity than attacking flair. They have won twice in their last five matches overall, and their away record against Shinnik—two consecutive 1-0 victories in 2025—suggests they know how to frustrate the hosts and capitalise on limited chances.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head narrative favours neither side decisively. FC UFA won both meetings in 2025 (1-0 on each occasion), but Shinnik Yaroslavl claimed the honours in earlier encounters, including a 3-0 home victory in 2022. The pattern shows tight, low-scoring affairs when these teams meet, with away wins in the last two renewals pointing to the difficulty of breaking down either defence on their own ground.
Key factors
Possession and territory will likely prove secondary to efficiency. Shinnik's home advantage and superior season goal-scoring average (1.25 vs 1.13) offer encouragement, yet UFA's defensive record and proven ability to win away at this venue cannot be overlooked. The bookmakers price under 2.5 goals at 65% implied probability, reflecting the expectation of a cagey, low-scoring contest. Both teams to score sits at 51% in the betting, suggesting a single-goal margin is more probable than a multi-goal thriller. Set-piece execution and transitions will be decisive in a match where open play may yield few clear-cut chances.
Prediction
The model identifies Shinnik as the most likely winner, reflecting their home advantage, superior season scoring rate, and recent domestic form. However, the 39% win probability underscores how tight this contest is. FC UFA enter as genuine contenders given their defensive discipline and historical success at this ground. A draw remains plausible given both teams' tendency toward stalemate. The predicted scoreline of 1-0 to the hosts aligns with the low-scoring pattern of their meetings and the bookmakers' expectation of under 2.5 goals. Expect a match decided by a single moment of quality rather than sustained dominance.
This is a wide-open encounter where Shinnik Yaroslavl emerge as the most likely outcome, but only marginally. Backing the home win offers value given their territorial advantage and recent league form, yet the odds reflect genuine uncertainty. For tactical analysts, the key will be monitoring how each side manages the midfield battle and transitions—territory without efficiency has plagued both teams this season. A low-scoring, tightly contested affair is the most probable script.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Shinnik Yaroslavl
L
W
D
L
W
FC UFA
D
L
W
L
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 43 |
| 2 |  FC Sochi | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 32 |
| 3 |  Ural | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 31 |
| 4 |  Torpedo Moskva | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 |
| 5 |  Spartak Kostroma | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 |  Veles | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 |  Shinnik Yaroslavl | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 |  FC UFA | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 22 |
| 9 |  Volga Ulyanovsk | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 |
| 10 |  Rotor Volgograd | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 |
| 11 |  Arsenal Tula | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 |
| 12 |  Chelyabinsk | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 |
| 13 |  Leningradets | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
| 14 |  KAMAZ | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
| 15 |  Enisey | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
| 16 |  Ska-khabarovsk | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
| 17 |  FK Neftekhimik | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 13 |
| 18 |  Tekstilshchik | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 11 |
Other Football matches
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.