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Staphorst vs Eemdijk Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 07-11-2026
Nov 713:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Staphorst 2-1 Eemdijk
StaphorstDrawEemdijk
Over 2.5 goalsYes (77%)
Both teams to scoreYes (74%)
Staphorst host Eemdijk in Derde Divisie Round 12, a fixture between two mid-table sides with sharply contrasting recent trajectories. Staphorst sit 15th on 9 points; Eemdijk are 13th with 10. The hosts have found form in their last two outings, while Eemdijk arrive in freefall, having conceded 21 goals across their last five matches. This is a match where recent momentum tilts decisively toward the home side.
Team form
Staphorst
Staphorst have recovered from a difficult spell. After three straight defeats in September and early October, they won 2-1 at home against DVS 33 Ermelo on 17 October, then secured an impressive 4-2 away victory at Hollandia a week later. Over their last five games they have scored 10 and conceded 12—a 2.0 and 2.4 per-game average—showing both attacking improvement and defensive vulnerability. They remain fragile overall (season average 2.27 conceded per game), but the recent wins suggest they have found a rhythm.
Eemdijk
Eemdijk are in crisis. They have lost all five of their most recent matches, conceding 21 goals in the process—a staggering 4.2 per game. That run includes a 7-2 thrashing at TEC, a 5-1 loss to ACV, and a 4-0 home defeat to Sparta Nijkerk. Their season average of 2.73 goals conceded per game already flagged defensive problems; recent form confirms they are leaking chances at an unsustainable rate. They have managed only 1.0 goal per game across these five fixtures, suggesting their attack offers little compensation.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record is split. Staphorst won 4-2 away in October 2025 and 3-0 at home in January 2024. Eemdijk took the most recent meeting 2-1 away in March 2026 and won 2-1 at home in August 2023. Staphorst have the edge in recent direct encounters, winning two of the last four and scoring 10 goals across all four meetings. The fixture has produced goals consistently.
Key factors
Eemdijk's defensive collapse is the defining factor. Conceding 4.2 goals per game over five matches is not a temporary blip but a structural crisis. Staphorst, despite their own defensive frailties, have found attacking rhythm and will face a visiting side that has shown no sign of stemming the bleeding. Possession and territory should favour the hosts, who have won their last two at home. Eemdijk's only path to a result lies in a disciplined, compact shape and clinical finishing on the counter—a tall order given their recent form.
Prediction
Staphorst hold a slight favourite status. The model gives them a 51.3% win probability against Eemdijk's 28.9%, with a 19.8% draw chance. The gap reflects Staphorst's recent wins and Eemdijk's defensive meltdown. The expected-goals balance favours the hosts, and a fairly open game is expected. Both-teams-to-score sits at a high probability, suggesting the hosts will likely score but Eemdijk's attack remains a question mark despite their leaky defence.
Back Staphorst as a narrow favourite. They have momentum, a home fixture, and face an opponent in free fall. Eemdijk's inability to defend makes them vulnerable to Staphorst's recent attacking form. A home win is marginally more likely than any alternative outcome, and the match should produce goals. For bettors, the over 2.5 line and both-teams-to-score offer complementary angles to a Staphorst win.
Match info
Tournaments:
Derde Divisie(Regular Season - 12)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Staphorst
L
W
W
L
L
Eemdijk
L
L
W
W
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Harkemase Boys | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
| 2 |  ACV | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| 3 |  VV Scherpenzeel | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| 4 |  TEC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| 5 |  Excelsior '31 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 22 |
| 6 |  SC Genemuiden | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sportlust '46 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 |  Purmersteijn | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Sparta Nijkerk | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 |  ADO '20 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 11 |  Hoogeveen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 |
| 12 |  Hercules | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 |
| 13 |  Eemdijk | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 |
| 14 |  DVS 33 Ermelo | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 15 |  Staphorst | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Hollandia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 |
| 17 |  Dovo | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
| 18 |  SVZW | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
| 1 |  Noordwijk | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 |
| 2 |  FC Lisse | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 |
| 3 |  Excelsior Maassluis | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
| 4 |  Rijnvogels | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| 5 |  UDI '19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 |
| 6 |  Zwaluwen | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 |  Poortugaal | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 18 |
| 8 |  Dongen | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 |
| 9 |  Gemert | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 |  GOES | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 11 |  Blauw Geel | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 12 |  TOGB | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 13 |  UNA | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 14 |  Roosendaal | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| 15 |  Groene Ster | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Vvsb | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 |
| 17 |  Achilles Veen | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 |  EVV | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
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Staphorst vs Eemdijk - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Staphorst vs Eemdijk football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.