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UD Santa Marta vs Calasanz de Soria Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 07-11-2026
Nov 716:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: UD Santa Marta 2-0 Calasanz de Soria
UD Santa MartaDrawCalasanz de Soria
Over 2.5 goalsYes (56%)
Both teams to scoreNo (33%)
UD Santa Marta host Calasanz de Soria in Tercera División RFEF Group 8 on 7 November, with the home side looking to extend their strong run. Santa Marta sit fourth with 20 points from 9 games, while Soria languish in 14th on just 7 points. The gap in quality and form is substantial, and the betting markets reflect a heavy lean toward the hosts.
Team form
UD Santa Marta
UD Santa Marta have been impressive. They've won three of their last five league matches, including a 2-0 victory away at Salamanca II last weekend and a 2-1 home win over Almazán the week before. Over this five-game stretch they've scored 7 goals and conceded only 2, averaging 1.4 goals per game while keeping their defence tight. For the season overall, they're posting 1.44 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per outing—a healthy attacking output backed by solid defensive discipline.
Calasanz de Soria
Calasanz de Soria are in genuine trouble. They've lost four of their last five matches, including defeats to Burgos Promesas, Cultural Leonesa II, Palencia CF, and Colegios Diocesanos. Their only recent bright spot was a 2-2 draw at home to Villaralbo on 3 October. Over the last five games they've managed just 3 goals while shipping 9, averaging 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Defensively they're fragile, and their attack lacks penetration—a recipe for trouble against a confident, well-organised opponent.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings between these sides are on record.
Key factors
The form disparity is the dominant factor here. Santa Marta's recent wins have come with clean sheets and clinical finishing; Soria's recent losses have been heavy and exposed a leaky backline. Santa Marta average 1.44 goals per season game versus Soria's 0.89, while Soria concede 1.78 per game compared to Santa Marta's 0.67. Santa Marta's fourth-place position reflects genuine quality; Soria's 14th-place finish with just 7 points from 9 games shows they're struggling at this level. The hosts should dominate possession and territory, and Soria's inability to score—just 8 goals in 9 matches—makes it unlikely they'll trouble the Santa Marta defence significantly.
Prediction
Santa Marta are clear favourites and rightly so. They've won six of nine league games this season and are in a rich vein of form. Soria, by contrast, have won only twice all season and are leaking goals at an alarming rate. The statistical gap is stark: Santa Marta's goal difference of +7 against Soria's -8 tells the story. Home advantage compounds the picture. Expect Santa Marta to control the match, create the bulk of the chances, and convert at least one or two of them. Soria will struggle to create meaningful opportunities and are unlikely to score.
UD Santa Marta are strong favourites to win this match. Their recent form, superior league position, and attacking prowess make them the clear pick. A home victory is the most likely outcome, and you should back them with confidence. The margin of victory could be comfortable.
Match info
Tournaments:
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8(Group 8 - 10)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
UD Santa Marta
W
W
D
D
W
Calasanz de Soria
L
L
L
L
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cristo Atlético | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22 |
| 2 |  Burgos Promesas | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
| 3 |  Cultural Leonesa II | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
| 4 |  UD Santa Marta | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
| 5 |  La Virgen del Camino | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Bembibre | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 |  Palencia CF | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 |  Guijuelo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Almazán | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Atlético Mansillés | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 11 |  Arandina | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 12 |  Villaralbo | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Turégano | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Calasanz de Soria | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Unionistas II | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
| 16 |  Colegios Diocesanos | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Salamanca II | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 |
| 18 |  Mirandés II | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
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UD Santa Marta vs Calasanz de Soria - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert UD Santa Marta vs Calasanz de Soria football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
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