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Expected score: VV Scherpenzeel 2-0 DVS 33 Ermelo
VV Scherpenzeel host DVS 33 Ermelo in a Derde Divisie clash where the gap between these two sides is stark. The hosts sit third with 24 points from 11 games, while Ermelo languish in 14th on just 9 points. This is a fixture that should tell us plenty about where each team stands in their campaign.
Team form
VV Scherpenzeel
Scherpenzeel have been the more consistent outfit. Over their last five matches they've scored 8 and conceded only 3, averaging 1.6 goals for and 0.6 against. They've won twice in that run—notably a 4-2 victory over ACV and a 2-0 away win at Sparta Nijkerk—though they did draw 1-1 at home to TEC most recently. Their season average of 1.82 goals scored and 1.09 conceded underlines a side that attacks with purpose and defends with discipline. They're the third-best team in the division by points, and that standing reflects genuine quality.
DVS 33 Ermelo
Ermelo's recent form has been troubling. In their last five outings they've managed only 6 goals while shipping 8, averaging 1.2 for and 1.6 against. They've won just once in that stretch—a 2-1 home success over Hollandia—but have lost three times and drawn once. Their season record of 1.55 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game shows a side struggling defensively. With just 2 wins from 11 games, they're fighting to stay competitive in this division.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record offers a curious twist. When these teams met in March this year, Ermelo won 3-0 away at Scherpenzeel—a shock result that stands out sharply against the hosts' usual standards. However, when they met in October 2025, the match finished goalless. That earlier draw suggests Scherpenzeel can contain Ermelo, but the recent 3-0 loss shows the hosts cannot afford complacency.
Key factors
Scherpenzeel's attacking threat is the dominant factor here. They've averaged nearly 1.8 goals per game across the season and have shown they can score freely—the 4-2 win over ACV proves they can break down defences. Ermelo's defensive fragility is the flip side: conceding 2 per game on average is a significant weakness. The visitors will struggle to create enough going forward to trouble Scherpenzeel's relatively solid backline. Home advantage and league position both favour the hosts decisively.
Prediction
Scherpenzeel are clear favourites and the evidence supports it decisively. They're third in the table facing 14th; they've conceded only 3 in five games while Ermelo have conceded 8. The hosts should dominate possession and territory. Ermelo's recent form offers no reason to expect them to replicate their March upset. The balance of play should favour Scherpenzeel throughout, and they have the quality to convert their superiority into goals. Both teams scoring is finely balanced—Ermelo do have some attacking threat—but the hosts' defensive record suggests they'll keep the visitors at arm's length.
Back Scherpenzeel to win. They are strong favourites and should prove too strong for a struggling Ermelo side. The hosts' form, league position and defensive record all point to a comfortable home victory. Expect Scherpenzeel to control the match and convert their chances.
Match info
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Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 26 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 | |
| 5 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 22 | |
| 6 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 22 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | |
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | |
| 9 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | |
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | |
| 11 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 | |
| 12 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 | |
| 13 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | |
| 14 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| 15 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | |
| 17 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | |
| 18 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | |
| 1 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | |
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | |
| 3 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 26 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 18 | |
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 | |
| 9 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | |
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | |
| 11 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | |
| 13 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | |
| 15 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | |
| 17 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 | |
| 18 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
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VV Scherpenzeel vs DVS 33 Ermelo - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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