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Zwaluwen vs TOGB Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 07-11-2026
Nov 713:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Zwaluwen 2-1 TOGB
ZwaluwenDrawTOGB
Over 2.5 goalsYes (82%)
Both teams to scoreYes (78%)
Zwaluwen host TOGB in Derde Divisie Regular Season round 12, with the home side holding a narrow edge in the betting market. Zwaluwen sit sixth on 19 points after 11 games, while TOGB occupy 12th with 12 points. The hosts are favoured, but this is far from a foregone conclusion—TOGB have shown enough attacking threat to keep this competitive.
Team form
Zwaluwen
Zwaluwen have recovered well from a heavy 0-2 defeat to Excelsior Maassluis on 17 October. Before that loss, they won four consecutive matches: 4-2 away at Roosendaal, 1-0 at home to Achilles Veen, 2-1 away at Noordwijk, and 1-0 at home to FC Lisse. Over their last five games, they have scored 8 and conceded 5—a rate of 1.6 goals for and 1.0 against per match. That defensive record is notably better than their season average of 1.45 conceded per game, suggesting they have tightened up recently. However, the most recent outing was a sobering reminder that they can be caught out.
TOGB
TOGB's record is more erratic. They have won twice in five games—1-0 away at Achilles Veen and 4-3 at home to Roosendaal—but also lost three times: 2-3 away at Excelsior Maassluis, 0-3 at home to Noordwijk, and 2-3 away at FC Lisse. Over the same five-game window, they have scored 9 goals but conceded 12, averaging 1.8 scored and 2.4 conceded per match. That defensive fragility is a concern, and it sits well above their season average of 2.27 conceded per game. They are leaking goals at an alarming rate, yet their attacking output remains respectable.
Head-to-head
The two sides have met twice recently. In May 2026, TOGB won 1-0 away at Zwaluwen. Before that, in November 2025, they drew 4-4 at home. TOGB have therefore taken something from both recent encounters, but Zwaluwen will be eager to reverse the May result on home soil.
Key factors
Zwaluwen's recent defensive improvement is their strongest asset, but it rests on a small sample and came before the Excelsior Maassluis loss. TOGB's leaky defence is the biggest vulnerability here: they have conceded 25 goals in 11 games and are shipping 2.4 per match over their last five. Zwaluwen's attacking form has been sharp—they scored 4 at Roosendaal and have averaged 1.6 per game lately. TOGB can score (1.73 per game this season, 1.8 in recent form), so a low-scoring stalemate is unlikely. Both teams are capable of finding the net, but Zwaluwen's superior league position and home advantage matter.
Prediction
Zwaluwen hold a slight favourite status. Their recent form, barring one slip, has been strong, and they are the better-placed side. TOGB's defensive record makes them vulnerable to conceding multiple goals, especially away from home. The model suggests Zwaluwen will create a marginal edge in chances. That said, TOGB have proven they can score and have taken points from Zwaluwen before. This is not a match where the home side should be backed with confidence—caution is warranted. The likelihood of both teams scoring is high, and goals are expected to flow.
Zwaluwen are slight favourites to win, but the margin is narrow and punters should be wary of overestimating their advantage. TOGB's attacking threat and Zwaluwen's recent blip create genuine uncertainty. A competitive match with goals at both ends looks most probable.
Match info
Tournaments:
Derde Divisie(Regular Season - 12)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Zwaluwen
W
L
W
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W
TOGB
W
D
L
W
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Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Harkemase Boys | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
| 2 |  ACV | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| 3 |  VV Scherpenzeel | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| 4 |  TEC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| 5 |  Excelsior '31 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 22 |
| 6 |  SC Genemuiden | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sportlust '46 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 |  Purmersteijn | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Sparta Nijkerk | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 |  ADO '20 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 11 |  Hoogeveen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 |
| 12 |  Hercules | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 |
| 13 |  Eemdijk | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 |
| 14 |  DVS 33 Ermelo | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 15 |  Staphorst | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Hollandia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 |
| 17 |  Dovo | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
| 18 |  SVZW | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
| 1 |  Noordwijk | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 |
| 2 |  FC Lisse | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 |
| 3 |  Excelsior Maassluis | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
| 4 |  Rijnvogels | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| 5 |  UDI '19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 |
| 6 |  Zwaluwen | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 |  Poortugaal | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 18 |
| 8 |  Dongen | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 |
| 9 |  Gemert | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 |  GOES | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 11 |  Blauw Geel | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 12 |  TOGB | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 13 |  UNA | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 14 |  Roosendaal | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| 15 |  Groene Ster | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Vvsb | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 |
| 17 |  Achilles Veen | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 |  EVV | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
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Zwaluwen vs TOGB - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Zwaluwen vs TOGB football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.