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Atlético Pueblonuevo vs Moralo Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 08-11-2026
Nov 816:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Atlético Pueblonuevo 1-3 Moralo
Atlético PueblonuevoDrawMoralo
Over 2.5 goalsYes (88%)
Both teams to scoreYes (76%)
Atlético Pueblonuevo host Moralo in Tercera División RFEF Group 14 on 8 November in a clash that pits the division's basement dwellers against one of its strongest performers. Pueblonuevo sit 17th with just 4 points from 9 games, while Moralo occupy third place with a commanding 18 points. The visitors arrive as overwhelming favourites, and the gulf in quality between these sides is stark.
Team form
Atlético Pueblonuevo
Atlético Pueblonuevo are in genuine crisis. Over their last five matches they have won none, drawing twice and losing three times. They managed only 5 goals across those games while conceding 14—a defensive record that screams vulnerability. Most alarming was the 0-5 hammering at Castuera, though they showed some fight in a 3-4 home loss to Plasencia. Their season average of 2.67 goals conceded per game tells the story of a side struggling to keep the ball out of the net.
Moralo
Moralo have been far more convincing, though recent form shows cracks. They won two of their last five, drew two and lost one—that defeat a 0-2 home reversal to Quintana last time out. Before that setback they had strung together victories over Castuera and Puebla Calzada. Over five games they scored 7 and conceded 6, a much healthier balance than their hosts. Their season record of 1.67 goals scored and just 1.11 conceded per game reflects a side built on defensive solidity and clinical finishing.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record is brutally one-sided. In their last five meetings, Moralo have won three and drawn one, with Pueblonuevo managing just one victory—a 2-0 away win in September 2022. More tellingly, Moralo's three wins came by margins of 2-0, 4-0 and 3-1, suggesting they have consistently dominated this fixture. Pueblonuevo's sole success is now four years old; recent encounters have been routs.
Key factors
Pueblonuevo's leaky defence is the primary concern for the hosts. They have conceded at least one goal in every recent outing and face an opponent who scores regularly. Moralo's discipline and attacking efficiency—evidenced by their third-place finish—should prove too much. The visitors' only recent wobble was the loss to Quintana, but that appears an outlier rather than a trend. Pueblonuevo's lack of firepower (1.11 goals per game) means they cannot afford to chase the game against a side this well-organised.
Prediction
Moralo are clear favourites and the data backs it decisively. The hosts have lost three of five and conceded 14 goals in that span; the visitors have the third-best record in the group and have dominated this fixture historically. Moralo's defensive record and Pueblonuevo's attacking poverty create an asymmetry that should favour a comfortable away victory. Both sides are likely to score given Pueblonuevo's defensive fragility, but Moralo should control proceedings and finish the job convincingly.
Moralo should win this comfortably. The visitors possess superior quality, consistency and a proven record against this opponent. Pueblonuevo will struggle to contain them, and while the hosts may grab a goal, it will not be enough. Back Moralo to take all three points in a match that looks destined to be a one-sided affair.
Match info
Tournaments:
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14(Group 14 - 10)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Atlético Pueblonuevo
D
L
L
L
D
Moralo
L
D
W
W
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Azuaga | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22 |
| 2 |  Llerenense | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 |
| 3 |  Moralo | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
| 4 |  Castuera | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 5 |  Villanovense | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 6 |  Puebla Calzada | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 |  Cabeza Buey | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 |  CD Zafra | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 |  Quintana | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Jerez | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Gévora | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 12 |  Villafranca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 13 |  Jaraíz | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 14 |  Santa Amalia | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 15 |  Plasencia | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 16 |  Montijo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Atlético Pueblonuevo | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 18 |  Guadiana | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
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Atlético Pueblonuevo vs Moralo - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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