First Half
AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 08-11-2026
Nov 815:45
1 : 1
Match Prediction
Expected score: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Groningen
AZ AlkmaarDrawGroningen
Over 2.5 goalsYes (66%)
Both teams to scoreYes (64%)
AZ Alkmaar host Groningen at AFAS Stadion in Matchday 12 of the Eredivisie season. AZ sit fifth in the table with 20 points from 11 games, while Groningen occupy eighth place with 15 points. The hosts are favoured by the bookmakers, but this promises to be a competitive encounter between two sides with contrasting recent trajectories.
Team form
AZ Alkmaar
AZ have struggled in their last five outings, scoring just 4 goals while conceding 7—a run that includes defeats to Twente and Feyenoord. Their most recent match, a 0-2 loss at home to Twente on 25 October, saw them manage only 51% possession and 1.27 expected goals. However, their season average of 1.82 goals scored per game and a +7 goal difference overall suggest they remain a threat in the final third when firing on all cylinders.
Groningen
Groningen have been far more prolific in their last five games, netting 13 goals across those matches at an average of 2.6 per game. Their 5-1 demolition of Excelsior on 11 October showcased their attacking potential, though they were heavily beaten 2-5 by Ajax in their most recent outing. Defensively, they have conceded 9 goals in five games—a rate of 1.8 per match—which exposes vulnerability at the back despite their offensive firepower.
Head-to-head
The historical record favours AZ decisively. In their last five meetings, AZ have won twice (3-1 away in 2018 and 4-1 away in 2017), drawn once, and Groningen have won twice at home (2-0 in both 2016 and 2015). AZ's away record in this fixture is particularly strong, suggesting they carry psychological advantage into this contest.
Key factors
Possession and control will be central to this match. AZ's 4-2-3-1 formation, marshalled by coach L. Echteld, prioritises midfield stability, while Groningen under D. Lukkien employ a similar shape but with greater emphasis on attacking transitions. Groningen's season average of 2.36 goals scored per game is notably higher than AZ's 1.82, yet AZ's defensive record (1.18 conceded per game versus Groningen's 2.18) suggests the hosts can contain the visitors' threat. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.47, reflecting the attacking potential on both sides.
Prediction
AZ hold a slight favourite status, supported by their superior league position, stronger defensive record, and commanding head-to-head advantage. Groningen's recent offensive form is impressive, but inconsistency—exemplified by the heavy defeat to Ajax—undermines their credentials here. The expected goal balance tilts toward the hosts, and their home advantage at AFAS Stadion is a tangible factor. Groningen will test AZ's defence, particularly through transitions, but the hosts should edge this encounter with their more controlled approach.
AZ Alkmaar are marginally more likely to secure victory. Expect a fairly open game with both sides capable of creating chances, though the hosts' defensive solidity should prove decisive. A home win with goals at both ends represents the likeliest outcome.
Match info
Tournaments:
Eredivisie(Regular Season - 12)
Referee:
Jannick van der Laan
Stadium
AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）, Alkmaar
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
AZ Alkmaar
L
L
L
W
D
Groningen
L
L
D
L
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| 5 |  Heerenveen | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 11 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 14 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
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AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.