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Castuera vs Montijo Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 08-11-2026
Nov 811:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Castuera 2-0 Montijo
CastueraDrawMontijo
Over 2.5 goalsYes (56%)
Both teams to scoreNo (29%)
Castuera travel to face Montijo in Tercera División RFEF Group 14 on 8 November 2026. The hosts sit fourth in the standings with 17 points from 9 games, while Montijo occupy 16th place with just 8 points. This is a significant gulf in form and quality, and the gap should tell decisively in this fixture.
Team form
Castuera
Castuera have been the stronger side this season. They have won 5 of their 9 matches and score consistently, averaging 1.78 goals per game across the campaign. Over their last five outings, they have taken 8 goals and conceded only 3, showing both attacking threat and defensive solidity. A 5-0 demolition of Atlético Pueblonuevo on 11 October showcased their attacking potential, though they have also drawn twice recently—0-0 at home to Llerenense and 1-1 away at Quintana. Their most recent outing was a 1-0 victory at Villafranca, suggesting they are building momentum heading into this match.
Montijo
Montijo are struggling. With only 2 wins from 9 games and 8 points, they are among the division's weaker performers. Their defensive record is particularly concerning: they have conceded 15 goals in 9 matches, averaging 1.67 per game. In their last five fixtures, they have won just once—a 2-0 home success against Jaraíz on 4 October—but have lost twice and drawn twice since then. Most recently, they fell 1-3 at home to Puebla Calzada, and before that lost 0-2 away at Gévora. Scoring is also an issue: they average 0.89 goals per game and have managed only 4 goals across their last five matches.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record is mixed but tells an incomplete story. Montijo won 3-0 at home in February 2025, a heavy defeat for Castuera. However, Castuera won 3-1 at home in October 2024, showing they can impose themselves when playing on their own ground. This match is at Montijo's stadium, but Castuera's current form and league position suggest they should be favourites regardless of venue.
Key factors
The decisive factors are Castuera's superior attacking output and defensive stability against Montijo's fragile defence and blunt attack. Castuera average nearly twice as many goals per game as their opponents and concede far fewer. Montijo have lost their last two away matches and have not won since early October. Castuera's recent consistency—five games without defeat—contrasts sharply with Montijo's inconsistency. The hosts will be without a reliable attacking threat; Castuera's defence should have a straightforward evening.
Prediction
Castuera are clear favourites. They sit fourth with 17 points and have demonstrated both attacking prowess and defensive discipline. Montijo, in 16th place with 8 points, are struggling to score and vulnerable at the back. The gap between the two teams' recent form is stark: Castuera have taken 8 goals in five games while Montijo have managed only 4. Castuera's defensive record this season—0.67 goals conceded per game—suggests they will contain Montijo's limited attacking resources. A comfortable home win for Castuera is the most likely outcome.
Castuera should win this match. They are the stronger team in every metric: league position, recent form, attacking output, and defensive solidity. Montijo have not won away since early in the season and face a side in confident form. Expect Castuera to dominate and secure a decisive victory.
Match info
Tournaments:
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14(Group 14 - 10)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Castuera
W
D
D
L
W
Montijo
L
L
D
D
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Azuaga | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22 |
| 2 |  Llerenense | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 |
| 3 |  Moralo | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
| 4 |  Castuera | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 5 |  Villanovense | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 6 |  Puebla Calzada | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 |  Cabeza Buey | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 |  CD Zafra | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 |  Quintana | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Jerez | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Gévora | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 12 |  Villafranca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 13 |  Jaraíz | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 14 |  Santa Amalia | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 15 |  Plasencia | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 16 |  Montijo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Atlético Pueblonuevo | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 18 |  Guadiana | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
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Castuera vs Montijo - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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