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Expected score: Cray Wanderers 0-2 Stockport County
Cray Wanderers host Stockport County in the FA Cup 1/128-finals on 8 November 2026. The hosts compete in the Isthmian Premier Division, while Stockport operate two tiers higher in League One. The bookmakers have priced this as a heavily one-sided affair, with the visitors commanding odds of 1.15 to win. This is a classic David-versus-Goliath cup tie, though Cray's recent domestic form offers some grounds for caution before backing the clear favourite.
Team form
Cray Wanderers
Cray Wanderers have shown volatility in their last five Isthmian Premier matches. They scored 5 goals in a dominant away win at Maldon & Tiptree on 29 September, but that performance sits alongside a 1-2 home loss to Lewes just over a week ago. Over the five-game sample, they have posted 3.0 goals per game while conceding 2.0 per game—respectable attacking output, but defensive frailty that could be exposed by a higher-division side. Their 3-3 draw at home to St Albans City on 15 September underlines the inconsistency: they can score freely but struggle to keep clean sheets.
Stockport County
Stockport County's League One form is more measured. They have won two of their last five matches, including a 4-0 demolition of Wigan on 5 September, but have also suffered defeats to Leicester (3-4) and Luton (0-2). Their attacking average of 1.6 goals per game is modest compared to Cray's, yet their defensive record—1.2 conceded per game—is significantly tighter. In their most recent outing against Peterborough on 26 September, they won 1-0 with 54% possession, 1.78 expected goals and 88% pass accuracy, suggesting a controlled, efficient approach.
Head-to-head
These teams have no recorded head-to-head history. This is their first meeting.
Key factors
The gulf in league level is the dominant factor. Stockport's League One status, superior defensive discipline and experience at a higher standard all favour the visitors. However, Cray's attacking threat cannot be dismissed: they have scored 15 goals in five games and will play at home with nothing to lose. Stockport's recent form shows occasional vulnerability—the 3-4 loss to Leicester and the 0-2 defeat to Luton suggest they are not infallible. The bookmakers price over 2.5 goals at 1.31, reflecting confidence in a relatively open contest. Both teams to score sits at 1.89, indicating a finely balanced market on that outcome. Cray's home advantage and attacking output mean Stockport cannot afford complacency, yet the visitors' superior structure and pedigree should prevail.
Prediction
Stockport County are heavy favourites, and the odds reflect a clear disparity in quality. Their defensive solidity and League One experience give them a decisive edge, while Cray's inconsistency—particularly at the back—makes them vulnerable to a well-organised opponent. The model points to a comfortable away victory. Over 2.5 goals is strongly favoured by the bookmakers at 1.31, suggesting the market expects Stockport to score multiple goals while Cray pose enough of a threat to keep the game open. The predicted scoreline leans toward a two-goal winning margin for the visitors.
Stockport County should win this tie. The visitors' superior league standing, defensive discipline and recent form make them clear favourites. Cray Wanderers will offer resistance, particularly at home, but are unlikely to overcome the quality gap. Cautious backing of the away win is warranted, though the odds of 1.15 offer limited value for risk-averse bettors. The over 2.5 goals market at 1.31 presents more attractive odds given both sides' attacking potential and Cray's defensive vulnerabilities.
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Cray Wanderers vs Stockport County - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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