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Puebla Calzada vs Cabeza Buey Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 08-11-2026
Nov 811:15
Match Prediction
Expected score: Puebla Calzada 2-1 Cabeza Buey
Puebla CalzadaDrawCabeza Buey
Over 2.5 goalsYes (82%)
Both teams to scoreYes (75%)
Puebla Calzada host Cabeza Buey in Tercera División RFEF Group 14 on 8 November, a fixture between two mid-table sides separated by just one point. Puebla Calzada sit sixth with 14 points from nine games; Cabeza Buey are seventh with 13 points. Both teams have shown inconsistency, but recent momentum tilts toward the hosts, who have won their last two outings and look the more threatening proposition in the final third.
Team form
Puebla Calzada
Puebla Calzada have picked up form at the right moment. Over their last five games they have scored 7 and conceded 7, but the headline is their back-to-back victories: a 3-1 away win at Montijo on 1 November followed by a 2-1 home win over Villafranca on 25 October. Before that, however, they suffered consecutive defeats—1-3 at home to Moralo and 1-2 away at Llerenense—exposing defensive fragility. Season-wide, they average 1.78 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game, the better defensive record of the two sides. Their home record is a strength to monitor.
Cabeza Buey
Cabeza Buey's recent form is mixed and defensive concerns are evident. They won 3-2 at home to Gévora on 1 November and won 2-1 at home to CD Zafra on 18 October, but their other three games in the sequence produced three draws. The 3-3 draw away at Santa Amalia on 25 October and the 0-0 stalemate at Jaraíz on 11 October highlight a side that struggles for consistency. Over five games they have scored 9 and conceded 7—a better attacking average (1.8 per game) than their season mean of 1.56, but defensive solidity is not their hallmark. They concede 1.33 per game on average across the season and travel to a side that has won its last two.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record offers limited insight. Cabeza Buey won 1-0 at home in May 2026, but the teams drew 0-0 away at Puebla Calzada in January. Neither side has established dominance in this fixture, and the away team's record here is poor—Puebla Calzada have not won at Cabeza Buey's ground in recent memory, while Cabeza Buey's sole victory came at home.
Key factors
The betting market should weigh Puebla Calzada's recent attacking sharpness—three goals at Montijo and two at home to Villafranca—against Cabeza Buey's leaky defence. Puebla Calzada's superior defensive record (1.22 conceded per game versus 1.33) is marginal but meaningful at this level. Cabeza Buey's draw-heavy recent form (two in five) suggests they lack the cutting edge to break down a resurgent home side. The away team's inconsistency in the final third, combined with their defensive vulnerabilities, presents a clear vulnerability. Puebla Calzada's home advantage and momentum should prove decisive.
Prediction
Puebla Calzada are the clear favourites. They have won their last two games, sit one point ahead, and boast a better defensive record. Cabeza Buey have won two of their last five outings and have conceded in three of those five. The model expects the hosts to dominate possession and create the clearer chances. Both teams are capable of scoring, but Puebla Calzada's attacking form and defensive solidity make them strong contenders to take all three points.
Back Puebla Calzada to win. The hosts' recent form, home advantage, and superior defensive record make them the logical choice. Expect a fairly open game with both sides likely to score, but Puebla Calzada should have enough to secure victory.
Match info
Tournaments:
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14(Group 14 - 10)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Puebla Calzada
W
W
L
L
D
Cabeza Buey
W
D
W
D
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Azuaga | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22 |
| 2 |  Llerenense | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 |
| 3 |  Moralo | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
| 4 |  Castuera | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 5 |  Villanovense | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 6 |  Puebla Calzada | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 |  Cabeza Buey | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 |  CD Zafra | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 |  Quintana | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Jerez | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Gévora | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 12 |  Villafranca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 13 |  Jaraíz | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 14 |  Santa Amalia | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 15 |  Plasencia | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 16 |  Montijo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Atlético Pueblonuevo | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 18 |  Guadiana | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
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Puebla Calzada vs Cabeza Buey - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Puebla Calzada vs Cabeza Buey football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.