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Santa Amalia vs Guadiana Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 08-11-2026
Nov 815:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Santa Amalia 3-0 Guadiana
Santa AmaliaDrawGuadiana
Over 2.5 goalsYes (66%)
Both teams to scoreNo (31%)
Santa Amalia hosts Guadiana in Tercera División RFEF Group 14 on 8 November, a fixture that pits a mid-table side against one in genuine crisis. Santa Amalia sits 14th with 9 points from 9 games; Guadiana languishes at the foot of the group with just 1 point and a goal difference of minus 22. The gulf in recent form is stark and unambiguous.
Team form
Santa Amalia
Santa Amalia have drawn four of their last five matches, a run that speaks to defensive solidity but attacking impotence. They held Azuaga 0-0 away and drew 3-3 at home to Cabeza Buey, yet lost 0-3 at Llerenense and 1-3 to Villafranca. Over these five games they scored 4 and conceded 9—a concerning defensive record masked by draws. For the season, they average 1.00 goal scored and 1.22 conceded per match. They are a team grinding out results without convincing, neither strong enough to dominate nor fragile enough to collapse entirely.
Guadiana
Guadiana are in freefall. They have lost all five of their most recent matches without scoring in four of them. Their last outing saw them beaten 0-4 at home by CD Zafra; before that, 0-4 away at Jaraíz. They conceded 18 goals in those five games while scoring just 1. Across the season, they average 0.33 goals scored and 2.78 conceded per match—figures that reflect a team bereft of attacking threat and defensively helpless. With only 1 point from 9 games, they are in a relegation battle that appears already lost.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings between these sides are on record.
Key factors
The disparity in defensive frailty is the critical axis here. Santa Amalia concede 1.22 per game; Guadiana concede 2.78. Santa Amalia's attack, while blunt at 1.00 goals per game, should find space against a Guadiana defence that has been systematically dismantled in recent weeks. Guadiana's inability to score—0.33 per game—means Santa Amalia need not fear a comeback. The home side's recent tendency to draw rather than win is a minor concern, but Guadiana's total collapse makes this fixture a clear opportunity for Santa Amalia to pick up three points and climb the table.
Prediction
Santa Amalia are heavy favourites. They are a functional mid-table outfit facing a team in complete disarray. Guadiana have conceded 25 goals in 9 games and scored only 3; they pose minimal attacking threat. Santa Amalia's draw-heavy form suggests they may not run away with this comfortably, but the quality gap is too wide to ignore. A Santa Amalia win is the strong expectation, with Guadiana unlikely to trouble the scoreline.
Back Santa Amalia to win. They should dominate possession and create the clearer chances against a Guadiana side that has shown no resilience or attacking ambition. A straightforward home victory is the most likely outcome, though Santa Amalia's recent pattern of draws means the margin may be modest rather than emphatic. For fantasy purposes, Santa Amalia's attacking players offer the best value, though the team's modest scoring rate means explosive returns are not guaranteed.
Match info
Tournaments:
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14(Group 14 - 10)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Santa Amalia
D
D
L
D
L
Guadiana
L
L
L
L
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Azuaga | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22 |
| 2 |  Llerenense | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 |
| 3 |  Moralo | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
| 4 |  Castuera | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 5 |  Villanovense | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 6 |  Puebla Calzada | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 |  Cabeza Buey | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 |  CD Zafra | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 |  Quintana | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Jerez | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Gévora | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 12 |  Villafranca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 13 |  Jaraíz | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 14 |  Santa Amalia | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 15 |  Plasencia | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 16 |  Montijo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Atlético Pueblonuevo | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 18 |  Guadiana | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
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Santa Amalia vs Guadiana - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Santa Amalia vs Guadiana football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
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