Match Finished
Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 08-11-2026
Nov 815:30
1 : 2
Match Prediction
Expected score: Santa Clara 1-0 GIL Vicente
Santa ClaraDrawGIL Vicente
Over 2.5 goalsNo (22%)
Both teams to scoreNo (29%)
Santa Clara host GIL Vicente in Primeira Liga Round 11 on 8 November. The hosts sit fourth with 21 points from ten games, while the visitors occupy seventh place with 15 points. Santa Clara have built their position on a strong attacking record of 15 goals scored against just 6 conceded; GIL Vicente's 8 goals for and 7 against reflects a less settled campaign. The bookmakers price Santa Clara as narrow favourites at 2.22, with the draw at 3.06 and an away win at 3.43.
Team form
Santa Clara
Santa Clara's recent run shows a side that creates chances but remains vulnerable. Over their last five games they scored 8 and conceded 3, averaging 1.6 per game for and 0.6 against. However, the sequence masks inconsistency: a 4-0 demolition of Rio Ave and a 2-1 away win at Arouca sit alongside a goalless draw at home to Braga and a 1-2 loss to Benfica on 26 October. In that Benfica match, possession of just 38% and 1.61 expected goals suggested Santa Clara were outplayed. They remain potent at home but have shown they can be subdued by better-organised opponents.
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente have won only two of their last five, losing to Porto and Benfica while beating Braga and Moreirense. Over the same span they conceded 6 goals—a concerning rate of 1.2 per game—and scored only 5. Their 0-1 home defeat to Porto on 24 October was particularly telling: just 42% possession and 0.43 expected goals indicates a side that struggled to impose itself. Luís Pinto's team have shown they can win away but lack consistency; they arrive in the Azores needing to tighten their defensive shape.
Head-to-head
Santa Clara hold a decisive edge in the head-to-head record, winning four of the last five meetings. The only exception is a 0-0 draw in 2020; all four Santa Clara victories came at home, with scorelines of 1-0, 2-1, 1-0 and 1-0. GIL Vicente have not beaten Santa Clara in this fixture since at least 2016. The pattern strongly favours the hosts.
Key factors
Santa Clara's home record and attacking quality give them an edge, yet GIL Vicente's recent defensive frailty—conceding 6 in five games—suggests they may struggle to contain the hosts' threat. Conversely, Santa Clara's possession figures in their last two matches (38% against Benfica, and lower still in earlier games) hint at a side that does not always dominate territorially. GIL Vicente's ability to score on the counter cannot be ruled out. The bookmakers' pricing of under 2.5 goals at 1.51 (66% implied probability) reflects expectations of a relatively tight, low-scoring contest. Both teams to score is priced at 2.07, suggesting the market sees a roughly 48% chance of that outcome.
Prediction
Santa Clara's home advantage, superior league position, and positive head-to-head record position them as slight favourites. Their season average of 1.50 goals scored per game outpaces GIL Vicente's 0.80, and the defensive gap—0.60 conceded versus 0.70—tilts in Santa Clara's favour. GIL Vicente's recent form, particularly their defensive vulnerabilities, makes them vulnerable to a Santa Clara attack that has shown it can be clinical at home. However, the margin is tight: GIL Vicente have won away this season and remain capable of frustrating the hosts. The expected goal balance slightly favours Santa Clara, though neither side is projected to create an abundance of clear-cut chances.
Santa Clara edge this contest on balance. Their home record, attacking prowess, and head-to-head dominance support a home win, though the visitors' ability to compete and the tight nature of recent meetings mean this is far from a foregone conclusion. The low-scoring nature of both teams' recent displays and the defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest a cagey affair. Back Santa Clara to win, but do not expect a rout.
Match info
Tournaments:
Primeira Liga(Regular Season - 11)
Referee:
Diogo Rosa
Stadium
Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Santa Clara
W
L
L
W
D
GIL Vicente
D
L
L
W
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 33 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 10 |  Famalicao | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| 11 |  Alverca | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 13 |  Nacional | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 |
| 14 |  Vitória SC | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 15 |  Maritimo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 |
| 17 |  Rio Ave | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
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