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Burton Albion vs Notts County Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 10-11-2026
Nov 1019:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Burton Albion 2-1 Notts County
Burton AlbionDrawNotts County
Over 2.5 goalsYes (56%)
Both teams to scoreYes (58%)
Burton Albion host Notts County in the EFL Trophy Group North stage at Pirelli Stadium on 10 November 2026. Both sides arrive from contrasting trajectories in their League One campaigns, setting up an intriguing contest in this knockout-stage group fixture. The hosts carry recent momentum from a strong home performance, while the visitors seek to arrest a run of defeats.
Team form
Burton Albion
Burton have shown attacking intent in recent weeks. A 4-1 home victory over AFC Wimbledon on 2 September demonstrated their capacity to break down defences, and they drew 2-2 at home against Cambridge United five days later. However, a heavy 0-3 away defeat at Oxford United on 12 September exposed defensive vulnerabilities. In their most recent outing, they lost 1-2 at home to Notts County on 29 August. Across their last five matches, Burton have scored 9 goals but also conceded 9, averaging 1.8 per game in each category. Their attacking players carry decent individual ratings, with Charlie Webster (7.0) and Raphael Rodrigues (6.7) leading the line.
Notts County
Notts County are struggling for consistency. They won that recent 2-1 encounter at Burton but have since lost twice without scoring—0-1 at home to Bradford on 12 September and 0-2 away at Reading on 19 September. Sandwiched between were two 1-1 draws against Huddersfield and Doncaster. Over five games, County have managed only 4 goals while conceding 6, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their attacking output has dried up markedly. Goalkeeper J. Belshaw (6.9) and defender J. Gibbons (6.9) are their standout performers, but the forward line—led by O. Cooper (6.9) and D. Kanu (6.2)—has been blunt.
Head-to-head
Notts County hold the upper hand in recent meetings. They won the most recent fixture 2-1 at home on 29 August 2026, and before that defeated Burton 2-1 away in September 2024. County also won 1-0 at home in September 2013. Across three meetings, County have won all three, scoring 5 goals to Burton's 2. This record gives the visitors genuine confidence despite their current league form.
Key factors
Burton's home advantage at Pirelli Stadium is meaningful in this format, and they have shown they can score at home. Notts County's recent defensive solidity—two clean sheets in their last five—suggests they will be hard to break down, yet their attacking drought is a genuine concern. The head-to-head advantage favours County, but their recent scoreless performances away from home raise questions about their ability to capitalise on chances. Burton's midfield control and home support should allow them to dominate possession and create opportunities.
Prediction
Burton enter as slight favourites. They have the home ground, recent attacking form at Pirelli, and a midfield capable of controlling tempo. Notts County's recent scoring problems—just 4 goals in five games—weigh against them, despite their head-to-head edge. The visitors' defensive discipline may keep the game tight, but Burton's attacking players should generate enough clear chances to edge this contest. Both sides are capable of scoring, and a fairly open game is likely.
Back Burton Albion for the win. They hold a narrow edge as hosts with superior recent form in the final third, and the home crowd should prove a decisive factor in a tight EFL Trophy group match. Notts County's defensive record is respectable, but their inability to score consistently makes them vulnerable to a Burton side that has averaged 1.8 goals per game recently. The odds favour a Burton victory with goals at both ends.
Match info
Tournaments:
EFL Trophy(Group North - 6)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Burton Albion
L
W
D
D
L
Notts County
W
D
W
L
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Other Football matches
Burton Albion vs Notts County - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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