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Expected score: Leicester 0-1 Walsall
Leicester travel to Walsall in the EFL Trophy Group South 2 on 10 November. This is a competition fixture between sides operating at different league levels — Leicester competing in League One, Walsall in League Two — yet the gap in recent form is not as wide as the divisions suggest. Both teams arrive with mixed records and will be testing their credentials in a match that could go either way.
Team form
Leicester
Leicester's league form has been erratic. They drew 1-1 at Barnsley on 19 September before that, having won 4-3 away at Stockport County on 12 September. However, a 0-4 home defeat to Oxford United on 5 September sits uncomfortably in their recent record. Over their last five outings they have scored 7 and conceded 8, averaging 1.4 goals for and 1.6 against per game. Under Russell Martin's 4-1-4-1 formation, Leicester showed attacking intent in their last outing — 79% possession and 2.40 expected goals — but converting chances remains a concern.
Walsall
Walsall have been more consistent defensively. They won 2-0 at home to Port Vale on 19 September and earlier claimed a 3-2 victory over Accrington Stanley. However, they have drawn three of their last five League Two matches, including goalless stalemates against Rochdale and Exeter City. Over the same five-game window, Walsall have scored 7 and conceded 4 — a superior defensive record at 0.8 goals conceded per game. Lee Grant's 4-2-3-1 setup prioritises solidity, and that approach has largely paid off.
Head-to-head
The two sides have met twice in recent years. They drew 0-0 in September 2024, and Leicester won 1-0 away in January 2023. Both meetings have been low-scoring affairs, suggesting neither side has found it straightforward to break the other down.
Key factors
Leicester's possession dominance and attacking output in their last match — 8 shots on goal, 90% pass accuracy — suggest they will likely control territory at King Power Stadium. Yet Walsall's disciplined defensive shape and their recent record of conceding only 0.8 per game indicates they are organised and difficult to crack. Walsall's attacking threat is modest but present; they have managed 1.4 goals per game recently. The match may well hinge on whether Leicester can convert their expected territorial advantage into goals, or whether Walsall can frustrate them and exploit a counter-attacking opportunity. Leicester's defensive vulnerability — 1.6 goals conceded per game — could be tested if Walsall press effectively.
Prediction
Walsall arrive as slight underdogs but carry genuine threats. Their defensive discipline and recent form suggest they are capable of containing Leicester's attack, while Leicester's inconsistency — particularly their heavy defeat to Oxford — raises questions about their ability to dominate weaker opposition. The expected goals balance slightly favours Walsall, and their League Two status should not mask their organisational strength. This is a tight contest in which the away side holds a narrow edge.
Back Walsall to win. The visitors' defensive solidity, combined with Leicester's recent defensive frailties, gives them a genuine chance to take something from King Power Stadium. The match looks finely balanced overall, but Walsall's form and shape make them worth supporting at the odds.
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Leicester vs Walsall - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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