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Alcoyano vs Elche II Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 11-11-2026
Nov 1118:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Alcoyano 2-1 Elche II
AlcoyanoDrawElche II
Over 2.5 goalsYes (70%)
Both teams to scoreYes (59%)
Alcoyano host Elche II in Segunda División RFEF Group 3, a fixture that pits a mid-table side showing attacking promise against a struggling reserve outfit. The home team's recent form—particularly a 4-3 win over Castellonense—signals intent, while Elche II's defensive frailties have become a defining feature of their campaign. At Estadio El Collao, the hosts enter as clear favourites.
Team form
Alcoyano
Alcoyano sit seventh with 14 points from 9 games, a record built on four wins and two draws. Their last five matches reveal volatility: they beat Castellonense 4-3 away, drew 1-1 with Real Murcia II at home, but suffered back-to-back defeats to Atlético Baleares and Ucam Murcia. Over this span they scored 6 and conceded 8. Their season average of 1.22 goals per game and 1.33 conceded per game suggests a side capable of both creating and leaking chances. The 4-3 victory demonstrates attacking capability when conditions favour them.
Elche II
Elche II occupy 16th place with 8 points from 9 games, a record that reads 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses. Their recent form is alarming: they drew 2-2 away at Intercity, but before that lost 1-5 at home to Castellón II and 0-4 away at Mallorca II. Over their last five games they scored 8 but conceded 17—an average of 3.4 per game that exposes a fundamental defensive problem. Their season figures of 1.11 goals scored against 2.22 conceded underline a side struggling to contain opponents. Only a 4-1 home win over Valencia II offers respite.
Head-to-head
The teams met once in December 2019, when Alcoyano won 3-0 away at Elche II. That result, though dated, suggests the hosts have had the measure of this opponent before.
Key factors
Alcoyano's home advantage at Estadio El Collao is significant. They have shown they can score—their 4-3 win proves they can break down defences—and Elche II's leaky backline invites pressure. Elche II's defensive record this season is the critical weakness: conceding 2.22 per game and 3.4 over their last five matches indicates they will struggle to contain a motivated home side. Alcoyano's recent inconsistency is a minor concern, but the gap in quality and form between seventh and 16th is substantial. The away side's only realistic path involves a defensive setup and counter-attacking, but their attacking output (1.11 per game) offers little threat.
Prediction
The model identifies Alcoyano as a strong favourite with a home win probability of 71%. The expected goals balance favours the hosts significantly, reflecting both Alcoyano's attacking potential and Elche II's defensive vulnerabilities. The predicted score of 2-1 captures the likely outcome: a comfortable home victory with a late away goal possible. An open match rather than a one-sided rout looks probable, though Alcoyano should control proceedings.
Back Alcoyano to win. The hosts are clear favourites based on league position, recent form, home advantage and the stark defensive gap between the sides. While Elche II may trouble them occasionally, Alcoyano's attacking threat and Elche II's inability to defend make a home victory the most likely outcome. For bettors seeking added value, a win combined with over 2.5 goals reflects the expected pattern of play.
Match info
Tournaments:
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3(Group 3 - 7)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Estadio El Collao, Alcoy
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Alcoyano
W
D
L
L
W
Elche II
D
L
L
W
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportiva Minera | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
| 2 |  Ucam Murcia | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| 3 |  Castellón II | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18 |
| 4 |  Castellonense | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 |  La Nucía | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 |  Cieza | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 |  Alcoyano | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 |  Lorca Deportiva | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Intercity | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Atlético Baleares | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Poblense | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 |
| 12 |  Orihuela | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 13 |  Mallorca II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 14 |  Yeclano | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 15 |  Real Murcia II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 16 |  Elche II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Valencia II | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 18 |  Peña Deportiva | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 |
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Alcoyano vs Elche II - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Alcoyano vs Elche II football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.