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Castellonense vs La Nucía Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 11-11-2026
Nov 1117:45
Match Prediction
Expected score: Castellonense 2-1 La Nucía
CastellonenseDrawLa Nucía
Over 2.5 goalsYes (76%)
Both teams to scoreYes (70%)
Castellonense hosts La Nucía in Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on 11 November 2026, a fixture between two sides separated by just one point in the standings. Castellonense sits fourth with 16 points from 9 games, while La Nucía occupies fifth with 15 points. Both teams have won five matches this season, but Castellonense's superior goal difference and recent attacking form make them the favourite to take three points at home.
Team form
Castellonense
Castellonense's recent record is mixed but encouraging for attacking intent. They lost 3-4 to Alcoyano at home on 8 November, a defeat that showed defensive vulnerability but also demonstrated their willingness to push forward—they scored three goals despite the loss. Before that, they drew 1-1 away at Valencia II and won 2-0 at Intercity. Over their last five matches, Castellonense have scored 11 goals and conceded 8, averaging 2.2 per game offensively. For the season, they average 1.78 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per match, establishing them as a relatively potent attacking unit.
La Nucía
La Nucía's form is considerably weaker. Their sole win in the last five came away at Atlético Baleares on 8 November (2-1), but they have lost four of their last five outings. Most concerning is their defensive record: they conceded 12 goals across those five matches, averaging 2.4 per game. They shipped four goals at home to Intercity, three away to Lorca Deportiva, and two in each of their other defeats. Across the season, La Nucía average 1.56 goals scored but 1.44 conceded—a fragile balance that has tilted sharply negative in recent weeks.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record favours Castellonense decisively. In their last five meetings, Castellonense have won twice, drawn twice, and lost once. Crucially, Castellonense won both matches at home: 2-0 in April 2026 and 0-2 away in May 2025 (note: the away fixture saw La Nucía win 2-0). The pattern shows Castellonense as the stronger side in direct competition, particularly on home soil.
Key factors
Castellonense's home advantage is significant given their attacking averages and La Nucía's recent defensive fragility. The hosts' willingness to commit forward, evident in their recent matches, should create opportunities against a visiting defence that has conceded heavily. La Nucía's sole recent bright spot—the win at Atlético Baleares—came away from home, but they remain vulnerable to teams that press and attack consistently. Castellonense's season-long consistency in both scoring and conceding suggests they can manage the game without surrendering carelessly.
Prediction
Castellonense are the favourite to win. They hold the superior league position, a positive head-to-head record, stronger season averages, and the advantage of playing at home. La Nucía's defensive troubles and recent form make them unlikely to breach Castellonense's relatively solid rearguard, while the hosts' attacking threat should be enough to find the net. A fairly open match is likely given both teams' recent scoring patterns, with goals expected at both ends.
Back Castellonense to win. The hosts' form, home advantage, and head-to-head edge make them the more likely winner. Expect a competitive encounter with chances for both sides, but Castellonense should have enough quality to prevail.
Match info
Tournaments:
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3(Group 3 - 7)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Castellonense
L
D
L
W
L
La Nucía
W
L
L
L
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportiva Minera | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
| 2 |  Ucam Murcia | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| 3 |  Castellón II | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18 |
| 4 |  Castellonense | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 |  La Nucía | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 |  Cieza | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 |  Alcoyano | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 |  Lorca Deportiva | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Intercity | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Atlético Baleares | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Poblense | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 |
| 12 |  Orihuela | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 13 |  Mallorca II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 14 |  Yeclano | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 15 |  Real Murcia II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 16 |  Elche II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Valencia II | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 18 |  Peña Deportiva | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 |
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Castellonense vs La Nucía - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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