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Swansea vs Burnley Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 12-09-2026
Sep 1214:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Swansea 1-0 Burnley
SwanseaDrawBurnley
Over 2.5 goalsYes (51%)
Both teams to scoreYes (54%)
Swansea hosts Burnley at the Swansea.com Stadium in this exciting Championship matchup. Both teams come into this game looking to secure vital points as the season unfolds, with Swansea aiming to maintain their strong form while Burnley looks for their first win.
Team form
Swansea
Swansea is currently in solid form, sitting at #2 in the league with 11 points from 6 matches. They have achieved 3 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss, demonstrating a strong home presence. In their last five games, they have scored an average of 1.2 goals while conceding just 0.6 goals per game, though their most recent outing was a disappointing 1-3 loss against Southampton. The last home game saw them emphasize their defensive solidity with a 0-0 draw against Wrexham, showcasing their capability to thwart opposition attacks.
Burnley
Burnley, on the other hand, has found this season challenging, languishing at #23 with only 3 points from their first six matches, marked by 3 draws and an unfortunate 3 losses. They have averaged just 1.0 goal scored per game while their defense has been porous, conceding 2.2 goals per game. Their recent performances depict a side grappling for consistency, with their last five fixtures yielding a goal tally that has often left them on the backfoot. The most recent appearance saw Burnley draw 1-1 with Wrexham, a sign of mild improvement considering their earlier form.
Head-to-head
Historically, Burnley has had the upper hand in this matchup, boasting victories in 4 of the last 5 encounters. They won their last meeting 1-0 over Swansea, and in another fixture in 2022, they secured a significant 4-0 win. The head-to-head stats will serve as a motivator for both teams; Swansea will be keen to break this trend, while Burnley seeks to assert their dominance once more.
Key factors
Swansea's tactical setup under Coach Vítor Matos features a 4-2-3-1 formation that balances offense and defense, with notable contributions from players like Z. Vipotnik who has already found the net this season. Conversely, Burnley, managed by N. Hayen, will rely on their strong defensive lineup, showcasing an ability to disrupt opposing strikes despite their recent woes. The midfield battle will be crucial; Swansea needs to establish control to maximize potential goal-scoring opportunities.
Prediction
Considering the current form and statistics, Swansea undoubtedly has the edge going into this match. Their offensive threat coupled with a robust defensive record makes them particularly dangerous at home. Burnley's tendency to concede goals could provide Swansea an avenue to capitalize and drive forward. Given the teams' current standings and form that heavily favour Swansea, the presence of home support and historical advantage becomes pivotal for this fixture.
Swansea is well-positioned as the home favorites in this encounter, likely to bounce back strongly and secure a win against a struggling Burnley side.
Match info
Tournaments:
Championship(Regular Season - 7)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Swansea
L
D
W
W
D
Burnley
D
L
D
L
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Brom | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| 2 |  West Ham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 3 |  Swansea | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 4 |  QPR | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 |  Charlton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 |  Middlesbrough | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bristol City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 |  Millwall | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Norwich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 |  Wolves | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Watford | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 15 |  Birmingham | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 16 |  Stoke City | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 17 |  Portsmouth | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Blackburn | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 20 |  Cardiff | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 21 |  Bolton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 22 |  Derby | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 23 |  Burnley | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 24 |  Preston | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
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Swansea vs Burnley - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Swansea vs Burnley football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.