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Dijon vs Orleans Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 13-11-2026
Nov 1319:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Dijon 2-1 Orleans
DijonDrawOrleans
Over 2.5 goalsYes (66%)
Both teams to scoreYes (61%)
Dijon host Orleans in the Coupe de France 1/128-finals on 13 November 2026. The tie pits a Ligue 2 side against lower-division opposition, a gap that recent form and head-to-head history suggest will tell decisively.
Team form
Dijon
Dijon's recent record shows volatility. They scored 12 goals and conceded 11 across their last five Ligue 2 outings, averaging 2.4 goals for and 2.2 against per match. A 4-2 home win over Metz on 12 October was followed by a 2-4 away loss at Reims and a 1-2 home defeat to Rodez on 24 October. In that last fixture, Dijon controlled possession at 72% and generated 1.59 expected goals but managed only 6 shots on goal, suggesting their attacking efficiency has been inconsistent. The squad contains attacking talent—Y. Barka scored in that Rodez match and carries a rating of 7.61—but the recent losses indicate defensive lapses remain a concern.
Orleans
Orleans operate in Ligue 3 and their form is markedly worse. Across five recent matches, they scored just 1 goal and conceded 8, averaging 0.2 goals for and 1.6 against per game. They have won none of those five fixtures, drawing twice (0-0 at home to Cannes, 1-1 away at Le Puy Foot) and losing three. Most damaging was a 0-4 home defeat to Versailles on 12 September and a 0-2 away loss at Amiens on 19 September. Orleans have failed to score in three of their last five matches. This is a team struggling to create chances and leaking goals at an alarming rate.
Head-to-head
Dijon hold a commanding head-to-head record. In the last five meetings, Dijon have won three times and drawn once, with Orleans managing only one win—never. Dijon won 3-2 at home on 15 May 2026, drew 2-2 on 7 March 2025, and won 1-0 at home on 12 April 2024. The pattern is clear: Dijon are the stronger side in direct competition and have consistently found ways to win or avoid defeat on home soil.
Key factors
The gulf in league level is the primary factor. Dijon compete in Ligue 2; Orleans in Ligue 3. Dijon's attacking output, despite recent inconsistency, far exceeds Orleans' capacity to score. Orleans' defensive frailty—conceding 1.6 per game—will be exposed by a Dijon side averaging 2.4 goals per game. Dijon's possession dominance (72% in their last outing) should translate to control and clear-cut chances. Orleans' inability to score (0.2 per game) makes them unlikely to threaten a Dijon defence that, while not flawless, is substantially better organised than the Ligue 3 standard.
Prediction
Dijon are the favourite. They play at a higher level, have won three of the last five head-to-head meetings, and face an Orleans side in severe offensive and defensive distress. Orleans have scored once in five games and conceded eight; Dijon average 2.4 goals for and 2.2 against. The home advantage, combined with Dijon's superior squad quality and recent dominance over Orleans, points to a home win. The expected goal balance favours Dijon substantially. Orleans' defensive record suggests they will concede multiple goals; their attacking record suggests they will struggle to reply.
Dijon are the more likely winner. Back the home side to progress with confidence. A fairly open game is possible given Dijon's defensive vulnerabilities, but Orleans' inability to score makes a low-scoring Dijon victory the most probable outcome.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Dijon
W
W
L
L
W
Orleans
D
D
L
D
D
Injuries & Suspensions
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Dijon vs Orleans - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Dijon vs Orleans football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
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