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QPR vs Derby Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 14-10-2026
Oct 1418:45
Match Prediction
Expected score: QPR 1-0 Derby
QPRDrawDerby
Over 2.5 goalsYes (53%)
Both teams to scoreYes (53%)
On October 14, 2026, QPR will face Derby County in a crucial Championship clash at Loftus Road, London. As the season progresses, both teams are looking to solidify their positions in the league standings, with QPR currently holding sixth place and Derby at the bottom of the table.
Team form
QPR
QPR has been solid at times, with 3 wins, 5 draws, and only 1 loss in 9 matches this season, accumulating 14 points. Their goals tally stands at 11 scored and 8 conceded, averaging 1.22 scored and 0.89 conceded per game. However, their recent form shows some inconsistencies, managing just 1 win from their last five matches, during which they averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Notably, they've held possession averaging 72% in their latest match, showcasing their ability to control play, despite drawing that match 0-0 against Charlton.
Derby
In stark contrast, Derby County has struggled immensely this season. With only 1 win, 3 draws, and 5 losses, they have garnered 6 points and are currently placed 23rd. Their goal difference is grim at 8 scored and 15 conceded, closely averaging 0.89 goals scored and a significant 1.67 goals conceded per game. Recent results highlight severe leaky defense, with averages showing 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded in their last five fixtures, where they have only achieved 1 win over Portsmouth amid a series of losses.
Head-to-head
Historically, QPR has had the upper hand in their recent encounters with Derby, winning 3 of the last 5 matches. Their last meeting on February 25, 2020, ended in a 2-1 victory for QPR. Prior to that, they had two draws in 2018 and one win. Derby's sole victory in this span was a narrow 1-0 win in 2016. Given their formidable head-to-head record and current league performances, QPR will likely aim to continue this trend.
Key factors
QPR's capacity to dominate possession and create scoring opportunities will be essential against a beleaguered Derby side. Their 4-4-2 formation, as employed by coach Julien Stephan, allows flexibility and strength in midfield. Meanwhile, Derby, utilizing a 4-2-3-1 formation under J. Eustace, has become vulnerable in transition, often conceding too many goals. This mismatch highlights QPR's chance to exploit weaknesses in the Derby defense, particularly considering Derby has conceded at least two goals in four out of their last five matches.
Prediction
Taking into account the overall performance matrices, QPR stands as the clear favourite for this encounter against Derby. An expected goal ratio of 1.74 puts them in a good position to clinch victory, as Derby currently reflects an average of only 1.04 expected goals. With objectives firmly fixed, QPR will likely pursue fully taking advantage of their home ground to assert dominance, while Derby must resolve defensive errors quickly to secure even a point.
In conclusion, QPR is expected to secure a win against Derby County in their Championship matchup, leaning heavily towards a straightforward home victory.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
QPR
D
D
D
D
L
Derby
D
L
L
L
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 |  Wolves | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 |  QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Millwall | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 |  West Brom | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 |  Bristol City | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 11 |  Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Charlton | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 14 |  Sheffield Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 15 |  Wrexham | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 18 |  Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 20 |  Watford | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 23 |  Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 24 |  Preston | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 |
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QPR vs Derby - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert QPR vs Derby football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.