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Albinoleffe vs Union Brescia Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 14-11-2026
Nov 1413:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Albinoleffe 0-2 Union Brescia
AlbinoleffeDrawUnion Brescia
Over 2.5 goalsYes (58%)
Albinoleffe host Union Brescia in Serie C - Girone A on 14 November, a fixture that pits a mid-table side against the division's second-placed outfit. The gap in the standings tells the story: Brescia sit on 28 points from 13 games, while Albinoleffe occupy ninth with 17. This is a mismatch on paper, and the odds reflect it decisively.
Team form
Albinoleffe
Albinoleffe's recent record is mixed at best. They opened with a 5-3 win over Juventus U23 in late September, but that's been their only victory in five outings. Since then: a 1-2 home loss to Arzignano, a goalless draw away at Dolomiti Bellunesi, a 0-1 home defeat to Athletic Carpi, and a 1-1 draw at home to Ospitaletto. Over those five matches they've scored 7 and conceded 7—a 1.4 average both ways. They're not creating separation from the pack.
Union Brescia
Union Brescia have been far more consistent. In their last five they've won once (4-0 away at Alcione), drawn three times, and lost none. They shipped only 5 goals across those five games while scoring 9—a 1.8 per game attacking average against a 1.0 defensive one. The draws have been a touch frustrating (three of them), but the underlying control is there. Their season record of 26 goals for and 11 against speaks to a side that knows how to manage games.
Head-to-head
The pair have met twice recently. Albinoleffe won 1-0 at home in March 2026, but Brescia hit back with a 2-1 victory on their own ground in October 2025. Home advantage has mattered in both fixtures, though Brescia's superior current form and league position suggest they're the stronger unit now.
Key factors
Brescia's defensive solidity is the standout metric here. They've conceded just 0.85 per game across the season—well below Albinoleffe's 1.46. Albinoleffe have won only 4 of 13 games and lack the consistency to trouble a second-placed side in form. Brescia's 2.00 goals per game average, coupled with Albinoleffe's leaky defence, points to the visitors creating the better chances. The bookmakers price Brescia at 1.72, reflecting their clear superiority. For fantasy purposes, Brescia's attacking players are likelier to accumulate points than Albinoleffe's defenders.
Prediction
Brescia are the favourite here, and it's not close. They're second in the league, have conceded only 11 goals all season, and face a ninth-placed side without a win in four games. Albinoleffe's home record offers minimal comfort—they've lost two of their last three at the Stadio AlbinoLeffe. Brescia's recent form, league position, and defensive discipline all point the same way. The model expects the visitors to dominate possession and create the clearer openings.
Back Union Brescia to win. They're the favourite for good reason: superior league position, better recent form, and a defence that's proven hard to break down. Albinoleffe lack the firepower and consistency to exploit home advantage against a side this well-drilled. For fantasy players, prioritise Brescia's attacking assets and avoid overcommitting to Albinoleffe's defenders.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Albinoleffe
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Union Brescia
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Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 |
| 2 |  Union Brescia | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 28 |
| 3 |  Trento | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 27 |
| 4 |  Ospitaletto | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22 |
| 5 |  Treviso | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22 |
| 6 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Lecco | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Alcione | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Albinoleffe | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 |  Pergolettese | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 |
| 11 |  Lumezzane | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 |
| 12 |  PRO Vercelli | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Desenzano Calvina | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
| 14 |  Novara | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
| 15 |  Athletic Carpi | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
| 16 |  Giana Erminio | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 17 |  Renate | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 18 |  Juventus U23 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 19 |  Dolomiti Bellunesi | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 20 |  Folgore Caratese | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
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Albinoleffe vs Union Brescia - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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