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Athletic Club II vs Racing Ferrol Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 14-11-2026
Nov 1412:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Athletic Club II 1-0 Racing Ferrol
Athletic Club IIDrawRacing Ferrol
Over 2.5 goalsNo (40%)
Athletic Club II hosts Racing Ferrol in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 14 November at Lezama Facilities. The hosts sit ninth with 15 points from 11 games; the visitors are sixth with 17 points. Both teams arrive in contrasting form, setting up a match where recent momentum and underlying metrics point in different directions.
Team form
Athletic Club II
Athletic Club II have been inconsistent. They won 3-1 at home against Cacereño on 31 October but lost their previous two away fixtures—1-2 to Unionistas de Salamanca and 1-2 to CD Coria—and suffered a heavy 1-3 defeat at home to Extremadura 1924. Over their last five games they have scored 6 and conceded 8. The season average of 1.55 goals scored and 1.36 conceded masks volatility: they can be potent at home but have been vulnerable defensively in recent weeks.
Racing Ferrol
Racing Ferrol have been tighter and more disciplined. They drew 0-0 at home to Ponferradina most recently but won three of their previous four, including 1-0 victories over Unionistas de Salamanca and Deportivo La Coruña II, plus a 2-0 win over Pontevedra. Their last five games show 4 goals scored and just 2 conceded—a defensive record well above their season average of 0.82 conceded per game. They arrive as the more organised unit.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record over four meetings is split. Racing Ferrol won 1-0 away in April 2026; Athletic Club II won 1-0 away in January 2026. Two earlier fixtures ended in draws (1-1 in May 2022 and 2-2 in September 2021). No clear pattern emerges, though both teams have shown they can win on the road against each other.
Key factors
Athletic Club II's home advantage and attacking average (1.55 goals per game) are offset by recent defensive lapses and inconsistency. Racing Ferrol's superior recent form—particularly their defensive solidity over the last five games—gives them structural stability. The visitors have conceded only 2 goals in their last five outings, suggesting they travel with a clear defensive shape. Possession and tempo will likely favour the hosts, but Racing Ferrol's discipline and efficiency in transition could prove decisive. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.72, reflecting genuine uncertainty about whether the hosts' attack will break through a well-organised defence.
Prediction
The model favours a home win, but this is a tight contest. Athletic Club II's home record and goal-scoring average give them an edge, yet Racing Ferrol's recent defensive improvement and superior league position (sixth vs ninth) narrow the margin considerably. The expected goals balance slightly favours the hosts, but the gap is marginal. A low-scoring outcome is more likely than a high-scoring one, with the predicted score reflecting a single-goal margin. The draw remains a credible outcome given Racing Ferrol's recent resilience.
This is a finely balanced fixture. Athletic Club II hold a slight edge at home, but Racing Ferrol's recent form and defensive discipline make them a genuine threat. Expect a tight, low-scoring encounter where the outcome could go either way. For the betting community, the market reflects the uncertainty well: home win odds of 2.13 offer reasonable value given the hosts' home advantage and the model's lean toward that outcome. The under 2.5 goals market at 1.8 appears slightly favoured by the underlying metrics.
Match info
Tournaments:
Primera División RFEF - Group 1(Group 1 - 12)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Lezama Facilities, Lezama
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Athletic Club II
L
W
L
L
D
Racing Ferrol
L
D
L
W
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lugo | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 |
| 2 |  UD Logroñés | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| 3 |  Pontevedra | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 |
| 4 |  Real Avilés | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 |  Mirandes | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 |  Racing Ferrol | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 7 |  Extremadura 1924 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 |  Mérida AD | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 |
| 9 |  Athletic Club II | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Cacereño | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 11 |  Ponferradina | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 15 |
| 12 |  Barakaldo | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Real Unión | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| 14 |  Cultural Leonesa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Unionistas de Salamanca | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 |
| 16 |  Zamora | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 17 |  CD Coria | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 18 |  Deportivo La Coruña II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| 19 |  Arenas Getxo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| 20 |  UD Ourense | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 |
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Athletic Club II vs Racing Ferrol - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Athletic Club II vs Racing Ferrol football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.