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Expected score: Billericay Town 2-1 Waltham Abbey
Billericay Town hosts Waltham Abbey in the FA Trophy Round of 128 on 14 November 2026. Both sides arrive in strong form, having scored 13 goals apiece over their last five outings. This is a tightly matched contest between two sides capable of finding the net with regularity, setting up a competitive cup tie with attacking potential.
Team form
Billericay Town
Billericay Town have been prolific in National League - South action, winning three of their last five matches. They beat Torquay 3-0 and Braintree 3-2 at home, though they also drew 3-3 with Dorking Wanderers and 2-2 away at Maidenhead. Over these five games they scored 13 and conceded 8, averaging 2.6 goals for and 1.6 against. Their home record shows attacking ambition, but defensive solidity has been inconsistent.
Waltham Abbey
Waltham Abbey come into this fixture with five matches across FA Trophy and FA Cup competition. They won 3-2 at Hastings United in the FA Trophy and demolished Croydon Athletic 7-1 at home in the same competition, though they lost 0-3 to Dagenham & Redbridge in the FA Cup. Over these five games they scored 13 and conceded 7, averaging 2.6 goals for and 1.4 against. Their away record is mixed, but their FA Trophy form has been sharp.
Head-to-head
There is no head-to-head history between these sides.
Key factors
Both teams have scored at similar rates — 2.6 goals per game — but Waltham Abbey have conceded fewer (1.4 versus 1.6). Billericay's home advantage is meaningful in cup football, yet Waltham Abbey's recent FA Trophy performances, particularly the 7-1 demolition of Croydon, suggest they can be clinical in attack. Billericay's defensive vulnerabilities, evidenced by draws against Maidenhead and Dorking, could be exploited by a visiting side in good form. The balance between Billericay's home strength and Waltham Abbey's attacking confidence makes this a genuine 50-50 proposition.
Prediction
The model rates this as a tight affair with a slight edge to the hosts. Billericay's home record and attacking output support their candidacy, but Waltham Abbey's superior defensive record and FA Trophy pedigree make them genuine threats. The expected goals balance is marginal — Billericay projected at 2.24, Waltham Abbey at 1.99 — reflecting a match where both sides should create chances. Goals are expected; both teams have shown they can score, and the defensive frailties on display in recent weeks suggest both will likely find the net.
This is a finely balanced cup tie. Billericay Town hold a slight edge at home, but Waltham Abbey's recent form and defensive discipline make them credible opponents. Expect an open game with chances at both ends. The betting case leans marginally toward a Billericay win, though a draw or away victory remain plausible outcomes in a contest where both teams can hurt each other.
Match info
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Billericay Town vs Waltham Abbey - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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