Not Started
Renate vs Desenzano Calvina Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 14-11-2026
Nov 1413:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Renate 1-0 Desenzano Calvina
RenateDrawDesenzano Calvina
Over 2.5 goalsNo (44%)
Renate hosts Desenzano Calvina in Serie C Girone A at the Mino Favini on 14 November. Both sides occupy the lower half of the table with modest point tallies—Renate 17th on 11 points, Desenzano Calvina 13th on 13—and neither has built consistent form. This is a match between two teams searching for stability rather than one where either can afford complacency.
Team form
Renate
Renate's recent record reads two wins, three draws and five losses across 13 games, yielding 17 goals scored against 18 conceded. Over their last five outings they have managed just 5 goals while shipping 8, a troubling defensive trend. They drew 2-2 at home to Giana Erminio on 11 October but have won only twice all season. Their season average of 1.31 goals per game masks an attack that has struggled to find rhythm; the concession rate of 1.38 per game compounds the problem. Tactically, they appear vulnerable to teams that press and transition quickly.
Desenzano Calvina
Desenzano Calvina's five-game sequence shows one win, two draws and two losses, also totalling 5 goals for and 5 against. They won 2-0 at home to Dolomiti Bellunesi on 10 October and claimed a 2-1 away victory at Folgore Caratese three days earlier, but a heavy 1-4 defeat at Alcione on 18 October exposed defensive fragility. Their season average of 0.77 goals scored per game is the more pressing concern—they lack a reliable attacking outlet. The 1.15 conceded per game suggests a defence that can be breached, yet their recent 0-0 draws hint at a side capable of organisation when compact.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings between these clubs are on record.
Key factors
Renate's home record and possession-based approach should offer an edge, yet their recent defensive lapses invite caution. Desenzano Calvina's attacking limitations—fewer than 0.8 goals per game—suggest they will struggle to punish Renate's vulnerabilities. The visitors' compact shape in recent draws indicates they may sit deep and look to exploit set pieces or transitions. Renate must avoid the temptation to over-commit; Desenzano Calvina will be dangerous on the break. Both teams' inability to score consistently points toward a low-scoring affair, though neither defence is sufficiently assured to guarantee a clean sheet. The tactical battle will likely hinge on Renate's ability to control tempo without surrendering the flanks.
Prediction
Renate hold a slight edge as hosts despite their defensive concerns. Their season average of 1.31 goals scored exceeds Desenzano Calvina's 0.77, and home advantage in Serie C carries weight. However, Renate's recent form—one win in five—and Desenzano Calvina's disciplined approach in recent matches suggest this will be a tight, cautious encounter. The bookmakers price the match as finely balanced, with the draw at 3.18 reflecting genuine uncertainty. Both sides' low scoring output makes an under-2.5-goals outcome more probable than over, and a both-teams-to-score market is too close to call.
Back Renate to win, but with the caveat that this is an edge rather than a conviction play. The hosts' home status and superior attacking average justify the lean, yet Desenzano Calvina's defensive solidity and low-scoring profile make this far from a formality. Expect a tight, cautious affair where defensive discipline trumps attacking ambition. The most likely outcome clusters around narrow home victories or draws, reflecting the quality gap between two mid-table sides in search of momentum.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Renate
W
W
D
L
D
Desenzano Calvina
L
L
W
L
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 |
| 2 |  Union Brescia | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 28 |
| 3 |  Trento | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 27 |
| 4 |  Ospitaletto | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22 |
| 5 |  Treviso | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22 |
| 6 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Lecco | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Alcione | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Albinoleffe | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 |  Pergolettese | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 |
| 11 |  Lumezzane | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 |
| 12 |  PRO Vercelli | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Desenzano Calvina | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
| 14 |  Novara | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
| 15 |  Athletic Carpi | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
| 16 |  Giana Erminio | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 17 |  Renate | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 18 |  Juventus U23 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 19 |  Dolomiti Bellunesi | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 20 |  Folgore Caratese | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
Other Football matches
Renate vs Desenzano Calvina - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Renate vs Desenzano Calvina football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.