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Rochdale vs York Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 14-11-2026
Nov 1415:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Rochdale 1-2 York
RochdaleDrawYork
Over 2.5 goalsYes (70%)
Both teams to scoreYes (68%)
Rochdale host York at Spotland Stadium in League Two's 15th round, with the visitors arriving as slight favourites despite the home advantage. York sit seventh on 20 points from 14 games, while Rochdale occupy 20th with 15 points. The bookmakers price York's win at 1.72, reflecting their superior league position and recent output.
Team form
Rochdale
Rochdale have won two of their last five, beating Fleetwood 2-1 away and Oldham 2-0 at home, but suffered a heavy 1-4 loss to Gillingham in early September. Over those five games they scored 8 and conceded 5, averaging 1.6 goals for and 1.0 against — an improvement on their season average of 1.21 scored and 1.86 conceded. They held 46% possession in their most recent outing and managed six shots on goal, suggesting a side willing to compete but lacking the cutting edge of higher-placed rivals.
York
York have been more consistent, taking 10 goals across their last five matches while conceding just 6. They won 4-0 at home against Swindon and 2-1 at Exeter, though they also dropped points in draws with Crewe and Rotherham. A 2-3 defeat at Cheltenham shows they are beatable, but their season average of 1.71 goals scored and 1.50 conceded underlines a well-balanced outfit. In their last recorded match they dominated possession at 67%, created 3.08 expected goals and landed nine shots on goal — the kind of attacking intent that troubles lower-league defences.
Head-to-head
York hold the upper hand in recent meetings. They won 4-1 at home in November 2025 and 1-0 in August 2024. Rochdale's sole victory came away at York in August 2023, winning 3-1. Before that, the sides drew 0-0 in consecutive meetings in 2013. York's dominance in the last two encounters suggests they have found Rochdale's measure.
Key factors
York's superior possession and shot volume in their last outing point to an attacking side that should create chances. Rochdale's defensive average of 1.86 goals conceded per game is a concern against visitors who average 1.71 scored. However, Rochdale's recent form shows they can score — their last five games yielded 1.6 per match — so a competitive contest is likely. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.58, reflecting the likelihood of an open game. Over 2.5 goals sits at 1.6, suggesting the market expects a fairly high-scoring affair.
Prediction
York's league position, recent form, and head-to-head advantage make them marginally more likely to take the points. They have won two of their last three and shown the possession and shot volume to trouble Rochdale. The visitors' balanced defence (1.50 conceded per game) should hold firm, while their attacking output should prove decisive. Rochdale can score and will create problems, but York's quality on the road and recent record against this opponent tilts the balance in their favour.
York are slight favourites to win. Expect a fairly open match with both sides likely to score, though the visitors should edge it. For fantasy purposes, York's attacking players offer good value given their recent form and the likelihood of them creating the clearer chances.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Rochdale
W
L
L
L
D
York
L
W
L
L
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
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Rochdale vs York - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Rochdale vs York football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.